Showing posts with label bot or not. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bot or not. Show all posts

Sunday, June 14, 2026

Network Science 1st Dimension

 

We're starting a series of articles about network science. There's been a lot in the news this past several months, and so there's a handful more of these posts to come. As expected, some of this comes from Northeastern, home of the Barabasi Labs that brought us network science proper, at the same time actual social networks were forming, not yet Facebook, but more like Napster, etc., circa 2001. Then there's the Santa Fe Institute and the Vienna Complexity Hub, both institutions focusing on complexity theory, which often includes network science.

If you want to know how ideas spread, or how to control an entire population in six easy steps, this is where you start. Just remember, we don't really have fake people yet, but we're almost there. And when we do, all this science will be used, by them, against us. 


Mapping out the hidden mechanics behind why some fads spread like wildfire
Nov 2025, phys.org

It's group pair interactions all the way down: As pairs of people meet up, the contagious illness or behavior can spread between them. As these two people then interact in groups, either together or separately, this helps to spread it further. The more groups they are in, the further the infection is likely to travel. They found that the higher the overlap of these groups, the easier it is to start an epidemic.

Just read that paper title.

via Northeastern University Network Science Institute in London: Disentangling the Role of Heterogeneity and Hyperedge Overlap in Explosive Contagion on Higher-Order Networks, Physical Review Letters (2025). DOI: 10.1103/z3d5-94zb

Image credit: Slime mold Cribraria purpurea by Igor Rudkovsky - Nikon Small World Photomicrography Competition - 2025


Cuisines can be broken down into simple 'culinary fingerprints,' research finds
Nov 2025, phys.org

This is NOT from the people who brought you the original Food Network, the scientists at Northeastern's Barabasi Labs, but a different group entirely:

The Fingerprints:
  • Indian food had the central component of spices in its recipes, 
  • "New World" countries such as the United States, Canada and Australia are "more homogenized", maybe because of the strong immigration cultural blending
  • Scandinavian cuisine shows significantly lower usage of vegetables, herbs, and plants  

The Recipe Data:
  • 23 cuisines from Thai to Eastern European
  • 45,661 recipes made up of 604 ingredients, simplified to 20 network groupings

via Network Science Institute, University of Catania in Italy, Savitribai Phule Pune University in India, Central European University in Austria, CENTAI Institute in Turin and Complexity Science Hub in Austria: Claudio Caprioli et al, The networks of ingredient combinations as culinary fingerprints of world cuisines, arXiv (2024). DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2408.15162


Climate policies can backfire by eroding 'green' values, study finds
Dec 2025, phys.org

Santa Fe Institute does memetics: They surveyed more than 3,000 Germans representative of the country's demographics, asking about climate policies and for comparison COVID-19 policies. Restrictions that promote carbon-neutral behavior, like urban car bans, may trigger strong negative reactions — even among people who would voluntarily choose sustainable lifestyles. They found a 52% greater negative response to climate mandates than to COVID-19 mandates.

^Which is hard to believe considering how unrelentingly pissed off people got about covid restrictions.

"The science and technology to provide a low-carbon way of life is nearly solved. What's lagging behind is a social–behavioral science of effective and politically viable climate policies." Mandate resistance was less for people who felt that policies were effective, didn't restrict their freedom of choice, and were not intrusive on their privacy or their body.

via Santa Fe Institute: Katrin Schmelz et al, An empirically based dynamic approach to sustainable climate policy design, Nature Sustainability (2025). DOI: 10.1038/s41893-025-01715-5

*Katrin Schmelz is SFI Complexity Postdoctoral Fellow, behavioral economist and psychologist who also holds an Associate Professorship at the Technical University of Denmark.


People swear on social media more with acquaintances than with friends — analysis can help detect fake profiles
Dec 2025, phys.org

Americans use the f-word more frequently on social media than Australians or Britons, but Australians are more creative in its use. To account for the heterogeneity of social media communication, the study first identified more than 2,300 spelling variants of the f-word in the dataset. 

The research team analyzed social media updates and Twitter networks from 2006–2023, covering nearly half a million individuals in thousands of social networks, from Australia, the U.K. and the U.S. and including metadata such as location and other contextual information. Then they assessed how closely or loosely connected people were. 

Results:
  • Tendency to use the f-word clearly increases with acquaintances when compared with close friends
  • Swearing was rare in very small social networks of less than 15 people, regardless of how close-knit they were, suggesting that network size is a key determinant of swearing
  • But the distinction between friends and acquaintances became irrelevant when the network size reached around 100–120 people; earlier research shows trust is stronger in small networks than in larger ones, with the distinction at roughly one hundred members.

And why is this important you ask?

AI can easily produce text. Instead, researchers should also examine the networks within which language is being used. "These networks are extremely difficult to fake because they create a digital fingerprint for each user. They reflect a user's previous social media behavior, making profiles identifiable." Combining these data with, e.g., swear word usage frequency within a particular network, can help determine whether an account is real or not.

via University of Eastern Finland: Mikko Laitinen et al, Do we swear more with friends or with acquaintances? F#ck in social networks, Lingua (2025). DOI: 10.1016/j.lingua.2025.103931


Scientists use string theory to crack the code of natural networks
Jan 2026, phys.org

Get the heck outta here.

"There seems to be a universal rule governing the formation of biological networks. This optimization rule is purely geometric. It does not care about types of materials or tasks, and it turns out to be quite universal and applicable to many different datasets."

"We were treating these structures like wire diagrams. But they're not thin wires, they're three-dimensional physical objects with surfaces that must connect smoothly." It turns out they follow rules borrowed from an unlikely source: string theory.

The work represents the first time string theory — a framework developed to unify quantum mechanics and gravity — has successfully described real biological structures. 

via Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute and Albert-László Barabási: Surface optimization governs the local design of physical networks, Nature (2026). DOI: 10.1038/s41586-025-09784-4. www.nature.com/articles/s41586-025-09784-4
https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41586-025-09784-4


Thursday, January 4, 2024

Not-bots, Fauxbots, Fleshbots and Semi-Sentience on the Rise


ChatGPT makes materials research much more efficient
Apr 2023, phys.org

"This isn't programming in the traditional sense; the method of interacting with these bots is through language," Morgan says. "Asking the program to extract data and then asking it to check if it is sure with normal sentences feels closer to how I train my children to get correct answers than how I usually train computers. It's such a different way to ask a computer to do things. It really changes how you think about what your computer can do."

via University of Wisconsin-Madison: Maciej P. Polak et al, Flexible, Model-Agnostic Method for Materials Data Extraction from Text Using General Purpose Language Models, arXiv (2023). DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2302.04914

Also: Maciej P. Polak et al, Extracting Accurate Materials Data from Research Papers with Conversational Language Models and Prompt Engineering—Example of ChatGPT, arXiv (2023). DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2303.05352

Image credit: In one of the first instances, phys.org uses a Stable Diffusion-generated image in the thumbnail, along with this statement: "This image was generated using Stable Diffusion, a text-to-image generator, using the prompt "researchers working with huge piles of data." -Dane Morgan and Maciej Polak, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 2023 [link]


New 'AI scientist' combines theory and data to discover scientific equations
Apr 2023, phys.org

The system rediscovered Kepler's third law of planetary motion, and produced a good approximation of Einstein's relativistic time-dilation law.

The new AI scientist—dubbed "AI-Descartes" by the researchers—joins the likes of AI Feynman and other recently developed computing tools that aim to speed up scientific discovery. At the core of these systems is a concept called symbolic regression, which finds equations to fit data. Given basic operators, such as addition, multiplication, and division, the systems can generate hundreds to millions of candidate equations, searching for the ones that most accurately describe the relationships in the data.

The system works particularly well on noisy, real-world data, which can trip up traditional symbolic regression programs that might overlook the real signal in an effort to find formulas that capture every errant zig and zag of the data. It also handles small data sets well, even finding reliable equations when fed as few as ten data points.

"In this work, we needed human experts to write down, in formal, computer-readable terms, what the axioms of the background theory are, and if the human missed any or got any of those wrong, the system won't work."

via IBM Research, Samsung AI, and University of Maryland Baltimore County: Combining Data and Theory for Derivable Scientific Discovery with AI-Descartes, Nature Communications (2023). DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-37236-y


Researchers say AI emergent abilities are just a 'mirage'
Apr 2023, phys.org

"Previously claimed emergent abilities … might likely be a mirage induced by researcher analyses" 

Researchers contend that when results are reported in non-linear, or discontinuous, metrics, they appear to show sharp, unpredictable changes that are erroneously interpreted as indicators of emergent behavior, however an alternate means of measuring the identical data using linear metrics shows "smooth, continuous" changes that, contrary to the former measure, reveal predictable—non-emergent—behavior.

Large numbers getcha every time:

"The Stanford team added that failure to use large enough samples also contributes to faulty conclusions."

It's one of the easiest to spot when looking at the success of predictive powers, whether it's the weather, a sports bettor, or your financial advisor -- the law of large numbers makes us suck at identifying patterns. If you flip a perfect coin, there's a 50% chance of it landing on either heads or tails, which is what you would call a perfect chance, right down the middle. But if you flip the coin 10 times, you will probably not get 5 heads and 5 tails. You might have to flip it 100 times for that, or maybe even 10,000. And it depends on how many decimals you want to use, and if you start to get into millions and trillions of flips, then you'll have to cancel the variables in your system, like the weight of the respective sides of the coin, or the tendency for you hand to flip a certain way, or the prevailing winds, or patterns of seismic vibrations of the earth. 

People who understand very well the law of large numbers, or more likely people who don't udnerstand it and don't want to -- can do a good job convincing others of seeing whatever patterns they want, just by manipulating the metrics, like looking at performance from January to January instead of September to September, or 18 months instead of 12, or:

"The main takeaway," the researchers said, "is for a fixed task and a fixed model family, the researcher can choose a metric to create an emergent ability or choose a metric to ablate an emergent ability."

via Stanford University: Rylan Schaeffer et al, Are Emergent Abilities of Large Language Models a Mirage?, arXiv (2023). DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2304.15004

AI Art - A doctor use his stethoscope on a huge mechanical brain pink background 1 - 2023

Study finds source validation issues hurt ChatGPT reliability
May 2023, phys.org

Only about half of generated sentences were fully supported by citations, and one quarter of citations failed to support associated sentences.

Moreover, the team found citation recall and precision were inversely correlated with fluency and perceived utility. "The responses that seem more helpful are often those with more unsupported statements or inaccurate citations," they observed.

As a consequence, they concluded, "This facade of trustworthiness increases the potential for existing generative search engines to mislead users."

via Stanford University's Human-Centered AI research group: Nelson F. Liu et al, Evaluating Verifiability in Generative Search Engines, arXiv (2023). DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2304.09848


Online consumers at risk from 'intelligent' price manipulation, say experts
May 2023, phys.org

"Widespread use of intelligent algorithmics and dynamic pricing by online retailers, puts the public at risk of 'adversarial collusion"

More sophisticated algorithms can manipulate weaker algorithms and therefore collude together to increase prices for everyone, subtly undermine the competitiveness of online markets and harm consumers.

via University of Oxford: Luc Rocher, Adversarial competition and collusion in algorithmic markets, Nature Machine Intelligence (2023). DOI: 10.1038/s42256-023-00646-0


Ethical, legal issues raised by ChatGPT training literature
May 2023, phs.org

"Our work here has shown that OpenAI models know about books in proportion to their popularity on the web and the accuracy of such models is strongly dependent on the frequency with which a model has seen information in the training data."

Few if any details about data used to train the models are known to the public.

Also, science fiction and fantasy books dominate the list of memorized books, presenting a built-in bias on the nature of responses ChatGPT may provide. 

We should be thinking about whose narrative experiences are encoded in these models.

via University of California, Berkeley: Kent K. Chang et al, Speak, Memory: An Archaeology of Books Known to ChatGPT/GPT-4, arXiv (2023). DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2305.00118

Post Script: I'm more interested in the simple statistical reality of algorithms trained on a completely "wild" dataset. The internet as a dataset is not curated, it's not designed, it's neither tamed nor maintained in any way; it is completely wild. When you apply the current state of the art in machine learning to a wild dataset, you multiply the wild part. 

AI Art - A doctor use his stethoscope on a huge mechanical brain pink background 2 - 2023

AI: War crimes evidence erased by social media platforms
Jun 2023, BBC News

AI-powered church service in Germany draws a large crowd
Jun 2023, Ars Technica

New tool explains how AI 'sees' images and why it might mistake an astronaut for a shovel
Jun 2023, phys.org

CRAFT -- for Concept Recursive Activation FacTorization for Explainability -- was a joint project with the Artificial and Natural Intelligence Toulouse Institute.

One of the concepts associated with the tench (a type of fish) is the face of a white male, because there are many photos online of white male sports fishermen holding fish that look like tench. In another example, the predominant concept associated with a soccer ball in neural networks is the presence of soccer players on the field. 

One way to explain AI vision is through what's called attribution methods, which employ heatmaps to identify the most influential regions of an image that impact AI decisions. However, these methods mainly focus on the most prominent regions of an image—revealing "where" the model looks, but failing to explain "what" the model sees in those areas.

But with CRAFT we can see how the system is ranking the concepts. 

With the 'image of an astronaut was incorrectly classified as a shovel' problem, CRAFT showed that the neural network identified the concept of "dirt" commonly found in members of the image class "shovel" and the concept of "ski pants" typically worn by people clearing snow from their driveway with a shovel.

via Brown University's Carney Institute for Brain Science: Thomas Fel et al, CRAFT: Concept Recursive Activation FacTorization for Explainability (2023)

AI Art - A doctor use his stethoscope on a huge mechanical brain pink background 3 - 2023

Study says AI data contaminates vital human input
Jun 2023, phys.org

They dubbed this phenomenon "artificial artificial artificial intelligence."

(But you should know this is because of the already-in-use term for Mechanical Turks, dubbed "artificial artificial intelligence"; and although they used to provide human input are now relying on AI-generated content, thus the "artificial" hole of recursion.)

"It is tempting to rely on crowdsourcing to validate large language model outputs or to create human gold-standard data for comparison," Veselovsky said. "But what if crowd workers themselves are using LLMs … in order to increase their productivity, and thus their income, on crowdsourcing platforms?"

Based on a limited study of the use of large language models by workers at MTurk, Amazon's crowd sourcing operation, the EPFL researchers estimated that 33% to 46% of worker assignments were completed with the aid of large language models.

via École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), Lausanne, Switzerland: Veniamin Veselovsky et al, Artificial Artificial Artificial Intelligence: Crowd Workers Widely Use Large Language Models for Text Production Tasks, arXiv (2023). DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2306.07899

Post Script: Figure this one out flesh engine of the future!  "fringe benefits, french benefits, and friends with benefits" boy is that a good one.


Is it growing pains or is ChatGPT just becoming dumber?
Jul 2023, phys.org

"We don't fully understand what causes these changes in ChatGPT's responses because these models are opaque."

"Any results on closed-source models are not reproducible and not verifiable, and therefore, from a scientific perspective, we are comparing raccoons and squirrels." -Sasha Luccioni of the AI company Hugging Face

via Stanford and UC Berkeley: Lingjiao Chen et al, How is ChatGPT's behavior changing over time?, arXiv (2023). DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2307.09009