Showing posts with label conspiracy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label conspiracy. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 11, 2023

The Synergistic Network Effect


The conspiracy theorist 'worldview' and the language of their argument
Oct 2022, phys.org

Conspiracies rely on other conspiracies as "evidence," jumping around different topics, less coherently than mainstream texts, but relying on a web of interconnected ideas to connect the dots.

The team analyzed thousands of conspiracist and mainstream webpages using natural language processing, a type of computer analysis of human language. They compared mainstream and conspiracist writing on the same topics.

Image credit: Network interconnectedness - conspiracy vs non-conspiracy - Alessandro Miani et al Science Advances 2022. https://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abq3668

The synergistic network effect:
  • Believing that the AIDS virus was deliberately engineered in a government laboratory is associated with believing that the Federal Bureau of Investigation was involved in Martin Luther King’s assassination [16].
  • Conspiracy believers tend to identify meaningful relationships among randomly co-occurring events [17, 18]
  • “...the specifics of a conspiracy theory do not matter as much as the fact that it is a conspiracy theory at all” (p. 5, ft. 15, 21). 
Thus, belief in multiple conspiracies may be self-supporting: The interconnectivity among conspiracy beliefs is supported by a meta-belief that resolves the apparent contradictions at the lower level. Hence, conspiracy theories may thus constitute a mutually reinforcing network of beliefs, creating self-sustaining evidence for a world dominated by deceptive agents (15). 
(The meta-belief they're talking about is this -- authorities are intentionally deceptive, e.g., they're lying to us.)

  • Hypothesis 1: If a conspiracy worldview coerces unconnected observations to support for an overarching belief in the deceptive nature of authorities, then a network of potential conspiracy-related topics will be more tightly interconnected in conspiracy documents than in nonconspiracy documents.
  • Hypothesis 2a: If conspiracy narratives focus less on individual topics than nonconspiracy narratives, then topic specificity will be lower for conspiracy than nonconspiracy documents.
  • Hypothesis 2b: Text cohesion between paragraphs should be less internally cohesive for conspiracy documents than nonconspiracy documents.
  • Hypothesis 3: If conspiracy narratives reference similar worldviews, then similarity between documents should be higher for conspiracy documents (as a group) than nonconspiracy documents (H3).

15. M. J. Wood, K. M. Douglas, R. M. Sutton, Dead and alive. Soc. Psychol. Personal. Sci. 3, 767–773 (2012).
16. T. Goertzel, Belief in conspiracy theories. Polit. Psychol. 15, 731 (1994).
17.R. C. van der Wal, R. M. Sutton, J. Lange, J. P. N. Braga, Suspicious binds: Conspiracy thinking and tenuous perceptions of causal connections between co-occurring and spuriously correlated events. Eur. J. Soc. Psychol. 48, 970–989 (2018).; J.-W. van Prooijen, K. M. Douglas, C. De Inocencio, Connecting the dots: Illusory pattern perception predicts belief in conspiracies and the supernatural. Eur. J. Soc. Psychol. 48, 320–335 (2018).
18. J.-W. van Prooijen, K. M. Douglas, C. De Inocencio, Connecting the dots: Illusory pattern perception predicts belief in conspiracies and the supernatural. Eur. J. Soc. Psychol. 48, 320–335 (2018).
21. S. Lewandowsky, J. Cook, E. Lloyd, The ‘Alice in Wonderland’ mechanics of the rejection of (climate) science: Simulating coherence by conspiracism. Synthese 195, 175–196 (2018).

via University of Warwick and University of Neuchatel, Switzerland: Alessandro Miani et al, Interconnectedness and (in)coherence as a signature of conspiracy worldviews, Science Advances (2022). DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abq3668

Post Script:
Language of Conspiracy (LOCO) - 88 million–word corpus composed of topic-matched conspiracy (N = 23,937) and nonconspiracy (N = 72,806) text documents (i.e., webpages) harvested from 150 websites.

Monday, October 31, 2022

I Want To Believe


Why narcissists are more likely than others to believe in conspiracy theories
Aug 2022, phys.org

The researchers suggest that paranoia can lead to openness regarding conspiracy theories and that the need to remain in control during times of uncertainty, such as a pandemic, can lead narcissists to seize on outlandish claims to make themselves feel like they are still in control of their lives. And antagonism comes to the fore when others challenge their views regarding conspiracy theories, which only serves to bolster their support of them.

via University of Kent, the Polish Academy of Sciences and the University of Cambridge: Aleksandra Cichocka et al, Why do narcissists find conspiracy theories so appealing?, Current Opinion in Psychology (2022). DOI: 10.1016/j.copsyc.2022.101386



Conspiracy theories flourish on YouTube, study reports
Oct 2022, phys.org

The study examined 38,564 YouTube comments on 3 COVID-19 news videos on Fox News, Vox, and China Global Television Network, and featuring American business magnate and philanthropist Bill Gates, and found conspiracy theories dominated.

"A major implication of our study is that YouTube needs to redesign the space to provide social moderation infrastructure," said Dr. Gray. "Otherwise, the discursive strategies of conspiracy theorists will continue to evade detection systems, pose insurmountable challenges for content creators, and play into the hands of content producers who benefit from and/or encourage such activity."

Remember that 2.8% of Reddit's 2019 revenue can be traced back to unpaid moderators and other user user contributions that generate profit such as training algorithms, targeting advertising, and recruiting new users. It's called a "data labor subsidy".

Also note this report ignores the engagement engine that extracts value from its users, powered by cheap news and social outrage. These algorithms amplify information and condition behaviors that make money. We're engineering outrage on purpose, and conspiracy theories are just a secondary symptom of an infected network.

via University of Sydney:  Lan Ha et al, Where conspiracy theories flourish: A study of YouTube comments and Bill Gates conspiracy theories, Harvard Kennedy School Misinformation Review (2022). DOI: 10.37016/mr-2020-107


New research shows US Republican politicians increasingly spread news on social media from untrustworthy sources
Oct 2022, phys.org

Under attack: 

A study analyzing millions of tweets has revealed that Republican members of the U.S. Congress are increasingly circulating news from dubious sources, compared to their European counterparts. (They used NewsGuard, which assesses the credibility and transparency of news websites against nine journalistic criteria and identifies relevant details about the website's ownership, funding, credibility and transparency practices.)

Compared to the period 2016 to 2018, the number of links to untrustworthy websites has doubled over the past two years 2020 to 2022 (from 2.4% to 5.5%;  0.4%  for Democrats and around 0.215% for conservative British Tory members).

via Graz University of Technology in Austria and University of Bristol: Social media sharing of low quality news sources by political elites, PNAS Nexus (2022). DOI: 10.48550/arXiv.2207.06313


Saturday, June 10, 2017

Signal to Noise



Updates on the tech front. Devious stuff here.

More Android phones than ever are covertly listening for inaudible sounds in ads
May 2017, Ars Technica

There is a software called SilverPush that uses inaudible sounds embedded into TV commercials to secretly track you. This article says there are about 200 very popular Android apps that use it. (Very popular means downloaded millions of times.)

So your TV (and radio I assume? Wait, nobody listens to the radio anymore, Pandora, Spotify, etc.) emits "beacons," which are supersonic signatures of the commercial, which are then "heard" by this software via the microphone of your phone, but not heard by you.

This allows marketers to track the location of their listeners. Since the TV can't tell them who is listening to the commercials coming out of it, they let your phone do that instead. Now the advertisers who made the commercial can find out if you're near a retailer, for example, or exactly where you are in a department store.

I have to mention here, for folks who don't catch this - the fact that your phone is a -mobile- device has everything to do with its absolutely critical value to consumerism. You might not think it's important, but that data point (your location/time) is worth a lot to advertisers who are trying to understand their market. When you turn off your gps, or do-not-allow an app to access your location data, you're turning off the number one revenue channel for that app (which is why most apps simply won't work without it, or in this case, without accessing your microphone). I'm not trying to get people to disable their locations, or to not use apps that want your location, just saying - you should know how this ecosystem works, because you're a part of it!

This can also be used to push coupons to you when you're near a certian store. Nifty, huh? (?)

Oh, it gets way better, because they also use a cross-tracking application that ties your data with that of every other device around you. You remember those charts explaining what the NSA is doing with your data? It's like that, but for consumerism, not terrorism.

This info comes from a paper published at the 2nd annual IEEE European Symposium on Security and Privacy.


POST SCRIPT

How Burger King revealed the hackability of voice assistants
May 2017, phys.org

"Voice assistants such as Google Home, Apple's Siri and Amazon's Echo devices have always been susceptible to accidental hijack. A Google ad during the Super Bowl that used the phrase "OK, Google" reportedly set off people's devices. And in a January story that briefly turned a family into media celebrities, a woman's 6-year old daughter ordered a dollhouse and sugar cookies simply by asking Amazon's voice assistant Alexa for them."