Showing posts with label consensual reality. Show all posts
Showing posts with label consensual reality. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 2, 2022

The Memory Machine


Why do we forget? New theory proposes 'forgetting' is actually a form of learning
Jan 2022, phys.org

Access vs Loss:

The memories themselves are still there, but if the specific ensembles cannot be activated they can't be recalled. It's as if the memories are stored in a safe but you can't remember the code to unlock it.

It's not that you forgot, but that you forgot how to remember.

And on the collective memory -- we encode so much of each other's memories, when getting together with old friends and remembering a crazy night you all had, where each person remembers a different part, because you each have developed different "access routes" to different parts of that night. Only together can you activate each other's memories, and thereby get the much bigger, fuller picture of all that went down that night. 

via Trinity College Dublin: Tomás J. Ryan et al, Forgetting as a form of adaptive engram cell plasticity, Nature Reviews Neuroscience (2022). DOI: 10.1038/s41583-021-00548-3


Thursday, July 7, 2022

IPCC vs MftF


Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change vs the Ministry for the Future

Heatwaves at both of Earth’s poles alarm climate scientists
The Guardian, Mar 2022

Antarctic areas reach 40C (104F) above normal at same time as north pole regions hit 30C (86F) above usual levels.

At this time of year, the Antarctic should be rapidly cooling after its summer, and the Arctic only slowly emerging from its winter, as days lengthen. For both poles to show such heating at once is unprecedented.

Scientists warned that the events unfolding were “historic”, “unprecedented” and “dramatic”.

They also said that extreme events like these are exceeding model projections, which is another way of saying that according to our current models, the planet is behaving like it's about 2030 already. 

When the scientists who study this stuff for a living start getting worried because their models aren't even strong enough to capture how fast things are happening, that's when you take note.


COP26: Document Leak Reveals Nations Lobbying to Change Key Climate Report
BBC, Oct 2021

Last year, we got a meta-glimpse of how science really works at the highest levels of global coordination, when a leak of an IPCC draft showed us which parts of the scientific consensus were removed for the final report. 

  • Saudi Arabia, Argentina, Australia, India, Japan, Norway, and OPEC demanded insistence on rapid reduction in fossil fuel be removed from the report.
  • Australia lobbied against the elimination of coal-fired plants, and also lobbied against the mention of lobbying in the report. (Go figure.)
  • Just about everyone said carbon capture isn't real, and scientists should "do their research" (just kidding about the quote, but that's basically what they said).
  • Saudi Arabia said “accelerated mitigation” is a bad idea, and a bad word, and it shouldn't be in the report. 
  • Brazil and Argentina want meat-based diets, and they don't want the report to ask people to not eat meat, even if it might help save the planet.
  • Switzerland doesn't want the rich people to have to finance the poor people to "meet their emissions", which is another way of saying stop using fossil fuel. 
  • India, Poland, Slovakia and the Czech Republic want scientists to say nuclear power is good. 

In the end, the report we got from the IPCC was very much modified from the original scientific consensus. And it didn't contain the words “accelerated mitigation” at all.

Here's another part that was removed -- 1% of the world’s population caused half of aviation’s carbon emissions in 2018 [the guardian]

And with that, I remind folks, for those who have read Kim Stanley Robinson's Ministry for the Future (2020), of Crash Day, the day the war for the Earth began, by mysteriously crashing roughly 10% of all flights in the air, at the same time; people stopped flying in regular airplanes from that day on. For those who haven't read it, read it.

Oh, and what happens next? The majority of the world's meat is intentionally infected with Mad Cow, which stops people from eating meat. Problem solved?

Image credit: Not the Ministry for the Future (MftF) but the Mirror Fusion Test Facility (MFTF), a nuclear fusion machine from the 1980's that never actually ran. [link]


Friday, October 12, 2018

Outrunning the Herd




No surprise here - children are more susceptible than adults to influence by robots, even if they're obviously not people.

I'll paraphrase - a bunch of kids were put in a room with a bunch of robots and asked to do dumb sh** that they wouldn't or shouldn't be doing. They could be influenced to do said things as long as the robots made it seem ok.

We used to call this peer pressure. Now we refer to a well-known scientific experiemnt called the Asch paradigm, and it is a standard for measuring conformity. If enough people believe something to be true, it starts to become "true," whether it's true or not. This is how society works. So this idea of succumbing to peer pressure isn't new or unknown, but the effect on kids vs adults, and that it's instigated by a  humanoid, is new, or at least a reminder of how susceptible we are to the influence of others, especially at a young age.

Our allegiance to non-humans shouldn't be too crazy to consider. In case you don't remember your childhood, or don't have kids of your own, let me remind you that for an entire decade in America, a 6-ft tall, purple fuzzy dinosaur told kids what to do. And before that, I do recall letting 16-bit video games take control of my life  for a good 5 years. Kids are not too picky about who they take authority from. If they did, puppet shows might not exist. Lacking a mature brain to generate their own purpose in life, they put a premium on the opinions, beliefs and especially the commands of others. The Bicameral Mind work of Julian Jaynes might also have something to add to this.

Next, I'm not sure how much this is related in the study-authors' work, but I have to bring up Hofstede's Cultural Dimensions, because one of these dimensions (individualism vs collectivism) measures the degree of conformity to be found in a particular population. Some cultures value conformity more than others, for example by forcing everyone to have the same haircut, and so this peer pressure effect may be even more pronounced in other parts of the world. This kid-influencing robot study was conducted in the UK, where there is a wider variety of haircuts.

Let's also take a look back at how Neal Stephenson was playing with this idea more than 20 years ago in a novel about an artificially intelligent book that was designed to teach children, and obviously to influence their worldview and hence their behavior.

And while we're at it, let's remember what has already taken place in America in regards to advertising to children. (I don't know enough about this to link something relevant; but I'm pretty sure there are at least some rules on how, when, and what can be advertised to kids, and it has something to do with McDonald's and breakfast cereal.)

Finally, the inverse of this study says that adults are not swayed so easily as children by a group of robots, and that we should take this as  a cool warning about such dangers in the future. But we can't deny that today, adults are already manipulated by robots*.

I can't say it better than the tech guru Jaron Lanier - social media is a behavior modification platform. We may not obey robots with the servitude of a child, but most of us tend to be influenced by our friends, and even friends of our friends, and so on.

*When I say "robots" in this context of social media, I'm talking about algorithms embodied by avatars that pretend to be actual human people, or the many shades of intelligentities that lie in between. 

Image source: Someone help me cite this X-ray Kermit picture? circa 2010


Notes:
Children 'at risk of robot influence'
Aug 2018, BBC News

Asch Test of Conformity - a test to measure the extent to which we are all suckers for social pressure.

Hofstede's Cultural Dimensions - offers a way to measure and compare some salient characteristics of culture

The Diamond Age: Or, A Young Lady's Illustrated Primer. Neal Stephenson, 1995.


Post Script:
What happens when you combine the Asch Paradigm and the Turing Test?


Post Post Script:
Would you look at that, just as we talk about how kids are in danger of being manipulated by robots, we get the first hints of how that might not be such a bad idea for adults. When you have an a**hole robot staring you down while you do your job, you do a better job. Go figure. I think we knew this already, with the whole cardboard cut-out cop reducing store thefts.

It doesn't matter if a thing is a robot or a can opener. We can't tell the difference. Forget the Uncanny Valley, if we assign agency to washing machines and our own mobile phones, what makes you think a crappy-looking robot isn't good enough to trick us? We are social creatures, our brain a social tool, and as such, everything is a person, and every act a social interaction. The way you handle your toothbrush has a wisp of sociality to it. Now make your toothbrush talk and have eyes, and try not to let it influence you. We can't.

Presence of 'mean' robot found to improve human concentration
Aug 2018, phys.org

Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Magical Thinking

light paintings - Janne Parviainen


Magical thinking still haunts all our thoughts
Andrew Crumey, 2014, Aeon

While scientific theories can become increasingly technical and abstract, the brains that struggle to interpret their meaning haven’t evolved much in the past 50,000 years. If our own brain is a kind of living fossil, it’s hardly surprising that so much of what we do with it is metaphorically fossilised too.

light paintings - Janne Parviainen