Friday, July 5, 2024

No Mystery Here


As a wet bag of twitching proteins, your biosignatures are unavoidable. Everything you do sends a signal, waiting for someone, something to recognize your existence, your intent, your fate. You are not a mystery; your every move, every decision, every thought and desire, they are all being broadcast, in myriad ways. You think that CIA agent has a superpower because she can tell that you're lying by looking at the micro-twitches on your face? Nothing. We are no match for what's coming. And if we don't become half robot very soon, the Anthropocene will be marked not by plutonium or "plastic rocks" but by the sudden disappearance of humans from the fossil record. Let's begin:

Eye movements can be decoded by the sounds they generate in the ear, study shows
Nov 2023, phys.org

Fucking "ear squeaks" - 

In 2018, Groh's team discovered that the ears make a subtle, imperceptible noise when the eyes move; the Duke team now shows that these sounds can reveal where your eyes are looking.

via Duke University: Stephanie N. Lovich et al, Parametric information about eye movements is sent to the ears, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2023). DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2303562120



AI-powered satellite analysis reveals the unseen economic landscape of underdeveloped nations
Dec 2023, phys.org

The researchers used Sentinel-2 satellite images from the European Space Agency (ESA) that are publicly available. They split these images into small six-square-kilometer grids. At this zoom level, visual information such as buildings, roads, and greenery can be used to quantify economic indicators.

The key feature of their research model is the "human-machine collaborative approach," which lets researchers combine human input with AI predictions for areas with scarce data. In this research, 10 human experts compared satellite images and judged the economic conditions in the area, with the AI learning from this human data and giving economic scores to each image. The results showed that the Human–AI collaborative approach outperformed machine-only learning algorithms.

via KAIST Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology: Donghyun Ahn et al, A human-machine collaborative approach measures economic development using satellite imagery, Nature Communications (2023). DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-42122-8


Artificial intelligence can predict events in people's lives, researchers show
Dec 2023, phys.org

Researchers have analyzed health data and attachment to the labor market for 6 million Danes in a model dubbed life2vec. Then they trained it, and asked for answers to general questions such as: 'death within four years'? 

Results are consistent with existing findings within the social sciences; for example, all things being equal, individuals in a leadership position or with a high income are more likely to survive, while being male, skilled or having a mental diagnosis is associated with a higher risk of dying.

In a way, this thing is sequencing the events of a person's life, and making a prediction the same way it can already look at the words in your prompt and produce what should be the expected response. 

via Technical University of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, ITU, and Northeastern University: Sune Lehmann, Using sequences of life-events to predict human lives, Nature Computational Science (2023). DOI: 10.1038/s43588-023-00573-5. 


Researchers develop algorithm that crunches eye-movement data of screen users
Feb 2024, phys.org

Hold onto your eyeballs 

Raw Eye Tracking and Image Ncoder Architecture (RETINA) can zero in on selections before people even made their decisions.

Can you read this and ask yourself on what planet you would ever want this?

The algorithm could be applied in many settings by all types of companies. For example, a retailer like Walmart could use it to enhance the virtual shopping experiences they are developing in the metaverse, a shared, virtual online world. Many of the VR devices people will use to explore the metaverse will have built-in eye tracking to help better render the virtual environment. With this algorithm, Walmart could tailor the mix of products on display in their virtual store to what a person will likely choose, based on their initial eye movements.

"Even before people have made a choice, based on their eye movement, we can say it's very likely that they'll choose a certain product," Wedel says. "With that knowledge, marketers could reinforce that choice or try to push another product instead."

The researchers are already working to commercialize the algorithm and extend their research to optimize decision-making.

"We think eye tracking will become available at very large scales"

via (get ready) University of Maryland's PepsiCo Chair in Consumer Science in the Robert H. Smith School of Business, as well as Tel Aviv University and New York University: Moshe Unger et al, Predicting consumer choice from raw eye-movement data using the RETINA deep learning architecture, Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery (2023). DOI: 10.1007/s10618-023-00989-7

AI Art - Affluent Gentleman w Money Surrounded by Envious People 2 - 2024

Study discovers neurons in the human brain that can predict what we are going to say before we say it
Feb 2024, phys.org

"Although speaking usually seems easy, our brains perform many complex cognitive steps in the production of natural speech - including coming up with the words we want to say, planning the articulatory movements and producing our intended vocalizations" 

New neural probes allow scientists to see certain neurons become active before a phoneme is spoken out loud.  

Neuropixel probes were first pioneered at Massachusetts General Hospital and are smaller than the width of a human hair, yet have hundreds of channels capable of simultaneously recording the activity of dozens or even hundreds of individual neurons"

via Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School: Arjun R. Khanna et al, Single-neuronal elements of speech production in humans, Nature (2024). DOI: 10.1038/s41586-023-06982-w


Improving traffic signal timing with a handful of connected vehicles
Feb 2024, phys.org

With GPS data from as little as 6% of vehicles on the road, the team used connected vehicle data, resulting in a 20% to 30% decrease in the number of stops at signalized intersections.

"While detectors at intersections can provide traffic count and estimated speed, access to vehicle trajectory information, even at low penetration rates, provides more valuable data including vehicle delay, number of stops, and route selection"

via University of Michigan Center for Connected and Automated Transportation: Xingmin Wang et al, Traffic light optimization with low penetration rate vehicle trajectory data, Nature Communications (2024). DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-45427-4

Post Script: It occurs to me that we have here one of the use cases for connected services data collected by your car likely without you knowing about it, "The team used connected vehicle data insights provided by General Motors to test its system ...".


Smartphone app uses AI to detect depression from facial cues
Feb 2024, phys.org

It's really instructive how easy it is to fuck things up real good - instead of being a boon to mental health, this sounds like complete dystopia, where humans have lost all control over their lives and live in absolute subjugation to machines infinitely smarter than us and upon whom we are hopelessly reliant for everyday existence (the simple act of unlocking your phone...)  

MoodCapture took 125,000 images of 177 participants over 90 days. A first group of participants was used to program MoodCapture; if they answered the question, "I have felt down, depressed, or hopeless" from the eight-point Patient Health Questionnaire or PHQ-8, the program correlated self-reports of feeling depressed with specific facial expressions such as gaze, eye movement, positioning of the head, and muscle rigidity, and environmental features such as dominant colors, lighting, photo locations, and the number of people in the image.

The new study shows that passive photos are key to successful mobile-based therapeutic tools, Campbell said. They capture mood more accurately and frequently than user-generated photographs—or selfies—and do not deter users by requiring active engagement.

"These neutral photos are very much like seeing someone in-the-moment when they're not putting on a veneer, which enhanced the performance of our facial-expression predictive model," Campbell said.

via Dartmouth College: MoodCapture: Depression Detection using In-the-Wild Smartphone Images, arXiv (2024). DOI: 10.1145/3613904.3642680. arxiv.org/pdf/2402.16182.pdf


AI model trained with images can recognize visual indicators of gentrification
Mar 202,4 phys.org

Wow, science
The ten-year U.S. Census and the five-year American Community Survey are aggregated by census tract rather than building by building; not sufficiently fine-grained.

Now they're using visual cues of gentrification like new construction or renovations from Google Street View images for entire cities.

They got construction permits to identify where construction was planned, and extracted data on business upscaling (laundry to coffee shop; grocery to high-end restaurant) from a national business directory. Then, manually looking at pairs of images from 2007 through 2022 from the full Google Street View data set for three cities Oakland, Denver, and Seattle.

About 74% of the time the model predicted gentrification in the same places where gentrification had been previously found in other studies.

Interestingly, the model identified a significant number of what could be false positives—census tracts the model labeled as gentrifying that had been labeled non-gentrifying in the past. These could have been errors by the model, but when the researchers looked at paired images in those census tracts, they found what looked like gentrification—new apartment buildings and neighborhood upgrades.

The conclusion: Because the model leveraged granular street-level imagery, it seemed to be spotting early signs of gentrification that previous studies had missed.

via Stanford: Tianyuan Huang et al, CityPulse: Fine-Grained Assessment of Urban Change with Street View Time Series, arXiv (2024). DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2401.01107

Also: Tianyuan Huang et al, Detecting Neighborhood Gentrification at Scale via Street-level Visual Data, 2022 IEEE International Conference on Big Data (Big Data) (2023). DOI: 10.1109/BigData55660.2022.10020341

AI Art - Affluent Gentleman w Money Surrounded by Envious People 3 - 2024

Machine learning tools can predict emotion in voices in just over a second
Mar 2024, phys.org

As good as any human they say 

"Machine learning can be used to recognize emotions from audio clips as short as 1.5 seconds. Our models achieved an accuracy similar to humans when categorizing meaningless sentences with emotional coloring spoken by actors."

The researchers drew nonsensical sentences from two datasets - one Canadian, one German - which allowed them to investigate whether ML models can accurately recognize emotions regardless of language, cultural nuances, and semantic content.

Each clip was shortened to a length of 1.5 seconds, as this is how long humans need to recognize emotion in speech. It is also the shortest possible audio length in which overlapping of emotions can be avoided.

The emotions included in the study were joy, anger, sadness, fear, disgust, and neutral.

Deep neural networks filter sound components like frequency or pitch, for example when a voice is louder because the speaker is angry—to identify underlying emotions.

Convolutional neural networks scan for patterns in the visual representation of soundtracks, much like identifying emotions from the rhythm and texture of a voice.

This hybrid model merges both techniques.

But alas, good-as-human is not better-than-human:
"We wanted to set our models in a realistic context and used human prediction skills as a benchmark," Diemerling explained. "Had the models outperformed humans, it could mean that there might be patterns that are not recognizable by us." The fact that untrained humans and models performed similarly may mean that both rely on resembling recognition patterns, the researchers said.

via Center for Lifespan Psychology at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development: Implementing Machine Learning Techniques for Continuous Emotion Prediction from Uniformly Segmented Voice Recordings, Frontiers in Psychology (2024). DOI: 10.3389/fpsyg.2024.1300996


Robotic face makes eye contact, uses AI to anticipate and replicate a person's smile before it occurs
Mar 2024, phys.org

Coexpression - when a person, or a robot, smiles at you while you're smiling at them.

Emo is a robot that anticipates facial expressions and executes them simultaneously with a human. It can predict a forthcoming smile about 840 milliseconds before the person smiles.

Emo could predict people's facial expressions by observing tiny changes in their faces as they begin to form an intent to smile.

via the Creative Machines Lab at Columbia University School of Engineering and Applied Science: Yuhang Hu et al, Human-robot facial coexpression, Science Robotics (2024). DOI: 10.1126/scirobotics.adi4724

Also: Rachael E. Jack, Teaching robots the art of human social synchrony, Science Robotics (2024). DOI: 10.1126/scirobotics.ado5755


Exploring the factors that influence people's ability to detect lies online
Apr 2024, phys.org

People were more suspicious of others if they had themselves lied during the game, but also when other players had reported holding a statistically unlikely card.

When compared to the predictions of an artificial, simulated lie detector, poor lie detection was associated with an over-reliance on one's own honesty (or dishonesty) and an under-reliance on statistical cues.

These findings imply that honest people may be particularly susceptible to scams, because they are the least likely to suspect a lie and thus detect a scam.

Moreover, as social media platforms use recommendation systems that feed people with more of the same content they like, these systems distort the likelihood of seeing certain information - fake news included.

People's natural reliance on statistical likelihoods to infer what is true thus will not work well in these contexts.

via University College London (UCL) and Massachusetts Institute of Technology: Sarah Ying Zheng et al, Poor lie detection related to an under-reliance on statistical cues and overreliance on own behaviour, Communications Psychology (2024). DOI: 10.1038/s44271-024-00068-7

Thursday, July 4, 2024

More Advances in Vision Tech


Nanostructured flat lens uses machine learning to 'see' more clearly, while using less power
Jan 2024, phys.org

Meta Imager - a lense that processes the image on the front-end, so it can be thinner and process more efficiently.

Vanderbilt University: Hanyu Zheng et al, Multichannel meta-imagers for accelerating machine vision, Nature Nanotechnology (2024). DOI: 10.1038/s41565-023-01557-2

Image credit: AI Art - What Does Sadness Look Like - 2022


Lab-grown retinas explain why people see colors dogs can't
Jan 2024, phys.org

Just Retinal Organoids - By tweaking the cellular properties of retinal organoids, the research team found that a molecule called retinoic acid (an offshoot of vitamin A) determines whether a cone will specialize in sensing red or green light. Only humans with normal vision and closely related primates develop the red sensor.

via Johns Hopkins University: Retinoic acid signaling regulates spatiotemporal specification of human green and red cones, PLoS Biology (2024). DOI: 10.1371/journal.pbio.3002464. 


A camera-based anti-facial recognition technique
Jan 2024, phys.org

Anti-Facial Recognition - obfuscating, synthesizing or changing images to increase the privacy of users

CamPro - whereas most techniques use post-processing to modify images after they were captured, this    technique works at the camera sensor level to produce images that can protect users' facial privacy without influencing other applications

Using a very simplified explanation - the team manipulated certain parameters at the signal processing layer of the camera, right after the sensor, to take away personal identifying information from the picture, but while leaving the other information like person detection and pose estimation. It works by adjusting the existing processing parameters, but without requiring redesigning the camera, and it's called "privacy-preserving by birth" (why not by design?).

What's more is that because the resulting image may not be "human readable", they put some code in there to make the face back into something that humans can see pretty good, yet doesn't have the data that a computer needs to see it. This is like how a stop sign with a picture of a banana on it can brick your self-driving car; it looks like a banana to you, or a mess of dots, or whatever, but to the computer it looks like something completely different and in fact makes the stop sign itself invisible.

via USSLAB at Zhejiang University: Wenjun Zhu et al, CamPro: Camera-based Anti-Facial Recognition, arXiv (2024). DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2401.00151


Science fiction meets reality as researchers develop techniques to overcome obstructed views
Feb 2024, phys.org

Using an ordinary digital camera - "We're turning ordinary surfaces into mirrors to reveal regions, objects, and rooms that are outside our line of vision"

via University of South Florida: Robinson Czajkowski et al, Two-edge-resolved three-dimensional non-line-of-sight imaging with an ordinary camera, Nature Communications (2024). DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-45397-7

AI Art - Vase of Golden Threads in Impossible Geometries by Escher and Lalique - 2022

Using 3D printing to make artificial eyeballs more quickly and accurately
Feb 2024, phys.org

Artificial eyeballs thought you knew

via Fraunhofer Institute for Computer Graphics Research at Technical University Darmstadt, NIHR Biomedical Research Centre for Ophthalmology at Moorfields Eye Hospital, UCL Institute of Ophthalmology: Johann Reinhard et al, Automatic data-driven design and 3D printing of custom ocular prostheses, Nature Communications (2024). DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-45345-5


Pushing back the limits of optical imaging by processing trillions of frames per second
Mar 2024, phys.org

Femtophotography - trillions of frames per second, used for femtosecond laser ablation, shock-wave interaction with living cells, and optical chaos 

Optical Chaos - chaos generated by laser instabilities using different schemes in semiconductor and fiber lasers

via Énergie Matériaux Télécommunications Research Centre at INRS Institut National de la Recherche Scientifique, the Advanced Laser Light Source Laboratory, Institut Jean Lamour at the Université de Lorraine, and Huazhong University of Science and Technology: Jingdan Liu et al, Swept coded aperture real-time femtophotography, Nature Communications (2024). DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-45820-z

 
AI-powered 'sonar' on smartglasses tracks gaze, facial expressions
Apr 2024, phys.org

Both use speakers and microphones mounted on an eyeglass frame to bounce inaudible soundwaves off the face and pick up reflected signals caused by face and eye movements. One device, GazeTrak, is the first eye-tracking system that relies on acoustic signals. The second, EyeEcho, is the first eyeglass-based system to continuously and accurately detect facial expressions and recreate them through an avatar in real-time.

via Cornell Smart Computer Interfaces for Future Interactions: Ke Li et al, GazeTrak: Exploring Acoustic-based Eye Tracking on a Glass Frame, arXiv (2024). DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2402.14634


Advance in light-based computing shows capabilities for future smart cameras
Apr 2024, phys.org

A tiny array of transparent pixels could produce a fast, broadband, nonlinear response from low-power ambient light.

The thinness of the material makes it transparent, while it retains qualities that enable incoming photons to efficiently regulate electrical conductivity. The research team coupled the 2D semiconductor with a layer of liquid crystal and made it functional with an array of electrodes. The result is a smart filter comprising 10,000 pixels, each able to selectively and quickly darken in a nonlinear way when exposed to broadband ambient light.

"An inexpensive device measuring a couple of centimeters could make a low-powered camera work like a super-resolution camera"

via California NanoSystems Institute at UCLA: Dehui Zhang et al, Broadband nonlinear modulation of incoherent light using a transparent optoelectronic neuron array, Nature Communications (2024). DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-46387-5

Wednesday, July 3, 2024

Modern Wood


Transparent wood could soon replace plastics
Oct 2022, phys.org

"Transparent wood as a material can replace the environmentally harmful petroleum-based plastics such as polypropylene, polyvinyl chloride (PVC), acrylic, polyethylene, etc."

Originally fabricated in 1992 by German scientist Siegfried Fink and since improved upon by other researchers, transparent wood is made by removing the lignin content in wood and replacing it with transparent, plastic materials.

"Plastics are used as a substitute for glass which is (naturally) fragile. However, transparent wood is an even better alternative from an ecological perspective as observed in our life-cycle analysis."

via Indian Institute of Technology: Rohit Rai et al, Life cycle assessment of transparent wood production using emerging technologies and strategic scale-up framework, Science of The Total Environment (2022). DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157301



Lignin nanoparticles: A sustainable recipe for combining cellulose with hydrophobic polymers for advanced applications
Nov 2022, phys.org

They use polycaprolactone as a compatabilizer.

We're really just here for the word - compatabilizer

via Aalto University in Finalnd: Erfan Kimiaei et al, Lignin Nanoparticles as an Interfacial Modulator in Tough and Multi‐Resistant Cellulose–Polycaprolactone Nanocomposites Based on a Pickering Emulsions Strategy, Advanced Materials Interfaces (2022). DOI: 10.1002/admi.202200988


How wood is making a comeback in construction
Jan 2024, phys.org

"Mass timber" is a category of engineered wood product.

The most recent version of the International Building Code included a construction type in buildings up to 18 stories. A record-setting 25-story-tall hybrid mass timber and concrete building has been built in Wisconsin, and Utah has a five-story building under construction in Draper.

via University of Utah: Emily Williamson et al, Design and Cyclic Experiments of a Mass Timber Frame with a Timber Buckling Restrained Brace, Journal of Structural Engineering (2023). DOI: 10.1061/JSENDH.STENG-12363


Researchers develop 3D-printed wood from its own natural components
Mar 2024, phys.org

The additive-free, water-based ink made of lignin and cellulose can be used to produce architecturally intricate wood structures via a 3D printing technique known as direct ink writing.

The payoff not only exhibited close similarities to natural wood in texture but also in scent and strength, and mechanical tests revealed compressive and bending strengths that surpassed those of natural balsa wood.

via Rice University: Md Shajedul Hoque Thakur et al, Three-dimensional printing of wood, Science Advances (2024). DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adk3250


Monday, July 1, 2024

Terroir on the High Seas


Fyi - Terroir for the ocean is called merrior, and it's for oysters not for wine. 

Homeowners insurance could go up more than 55% due to severe weather, inflation, Allstate warns
Feb 2024, nj.com

Allstate is warning customers their homeowners insurance premiums could be hiked more than 55% after the insurer asked the state to approve a series of rate hikes. (They ask for 36.9% but get approved for about 7.0%.)

“Our payments to help New Jersey residents recover from accidents and disasters have increased significantly in recent years and we need to adjust rates to reflect the cost of providing the protection our customers depend on,” Allstate told NJ Advance Media on Thursday.

In the letter to consumers, it said the increase is needed because of inflation and because of costs “due to our catastrophic exposure (severe weather) in the state.”



Newsflash - Pollution was helping us the whole time?
Research shows how air pollution has offset expected increases in rainfall
Feb 2024, phys.org

The expected increase in rain has been largely offset by the drying effect of aerosols.

"Prior to our study, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) had concluded that the evidence was mixed and inconclusive for changes in U.S. precipitation due to global warming," said Bill Collins, associate laboratory director for the Earth and Environmental Sciences Area at Berkeley Lab and co-lead author on the study. "We have now provided conclusive evidence for higher rainfall and also helped explain why past studies assessed by the IPCC reached conflicting conclusions."

Over the long term, aerosols cool the planet, which causes a drying effect. But they also have a faster, more local response. That fast impact depends on the season, with aerosols generally reducing rainfall in the winter and spring, and amplifying it in summer and fall over much of the United States.

via Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory: Nature Communications (2024). DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-45504-8.


Scientists create new idea on how to hack a warming planet: drying the upper atmosphere
Feb 2023, phys.org

They're calling it the Last-Ditch Toolbox:

Inject ice high up in the air so water vapor in the upper atmosphere would get a bit drier and that could counteract a small amount of the human-caused warmth.

High-tech planes could inject ice particles about 11 miles high, just below the stratosphere, where the air slowly rises. Then the ice and cold air rise to where it's coldest and gets the water vapor to turn to ice and fall, dehydrating the stratosphere. Injecting 2 tons a week could conceivably take out about 5% of the overall warming created by carbon.

So far there is no workable injection technique, he said.

Schwarz is not quite sure about what side effects could occur, and that's the problem, other scientists said.

via National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and NASA: Joshua P. Schwarz et al, Considering intentional stratospheric dehydration for climate benefits, Science Advances (2024). DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adk0593


Power company admits role in igniting Texas wildfire
BBC News

Keep in mind that the power companies are burning up our planet while making OUR electricity, so it's doubly crazy how it's all happening.

AI Art - Planetary Collapse Map 2 - 2024

Soil may release more carbon than expected, affecting climate change models
Mar 2024, phys.org

Soil stores 80% of carbon on Earth, and with increasing cycles and severity of droughts in several regions, that crucial reservoir is cracking and breaking down, releasing even more carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. In fact, it may be creating an amplified feedback loop that could accelerate climate change well beyond current predictions.

via Tufts University: Farshid Vahedifard et al, Amplifying feedback loop between drought, soil desiccation cracking, and greenhouse gas emissions, Environmental Research Letters (2024). DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad2c23


Here's a reminder that airplane and satellite surveillance are changing - rapidly - the data on carbon emissions:
US energy industry methane emissions are triple what government thinks, study finds
Mar 2024, phys.org

Using one million anonymized measurements from airplanes that flew over 52% of American oil wells and 29% of gas production and delivery system sites over a decade, and found that 3% of the U.S. gas produced goes wasted into the air, compared to the Environmental Protection Agency figures of 1%.

This is likely because more than half of these methane emissions are coming from a tiny number of oil and gas sites, 1% or less,

The overflight data shows the biggest leaks are in the Permian basin of Texas and New Mexico. Contrast that with tiny leak rates found in drilling in the Denver region and the Pennsylvania area. Denver leaks are so low because of local strictly enforced regulations and Pennsylvania is more gas-oriented, Sherwin said.

via the International Energy Agency, U.S. Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, and  Stanford University: Evan D. Sherwin et al, US oil and gas system emissions from nearly one million aerial site measurements, Nature (2024). DOI: 10.1038/s41586-024-07117-5


Atmospheric observations in China show rise in emissions of a potent greenhouse gas
Mar 2024, phys.org

The GWP of sulfur hexafluoride (SF6) is 24,300 times that of CO2, and it's used primarily in high-voltage electrical switchgear in electric power grids. Atmospheric concentrations of SF6 have risen sharply along with global electric power demand.

via MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Fudan University, Peking University, University of Bristol, and Meteorological Observation Center of China Meteorological Administration: Minde An et al, Sustained growth of sulfur hexafluoride emissions in China inferred from atmospheric observations, Nature Communications (2024). DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-46084-3


Here is another example about how leaving sulfur pollution in the air may have been a better idea than taking it out:
Mysteriously rapid rise in Legionnaires’ disease incidence correlates with declining atmospheric sulfur dioxide.
Mar 2024, PNAS Nexus

Legionnaires’ disease is a severe form of pneumonia caused by inhalation of aerosols containing Legionella. These bacteria can grow, spread, and aerosolize through building water systems.

A recent dramatic increase in Legionnaires’ disease incidence has been observed globally, with a 9-fold increase in the United States from 2000 to 2018, and with disproportionately higher burden for socioeconomically vulnerable subgroups. 

Our results suggest that declining sulfur dioxide air pollution, which has many well-established health benefits, results in reduced acidity of aerosols emitted from cooling towers, which may prolong the survival duration of Legionella in contaminated droplets.

Corrected Heat Index - David Romps and Yi-Chuan Lu at UC Berkeley - Mar 2024

The heat index—how hot it feels—is rising faster than temperature: Study
Mar 2024, phys.org

The reason that it feels much hotter than you'd expect from the increase in ambient temperature alone is that global warming is affecting the interplay between humidity and temperature, he said. In the past, relative humidity typically dropped when the temperature increased, allowing the body to sweat more and thus feel more comfortable. However, with climate change, the relative humidity remains about constant as the temperature increases, which reduces the effectiveness of sweating to cool the body.
So it really does feel hotter - it IS hotter, to the human body - than it used to, even at the same temperature.

Note for the image above - The corrected heat index created by UC Berkeley researchers fixes problems encountered at humidities and temperatures that the originator of the index thought would be rarely reached and also where the model broke down. (Graphic by David Romps and Yi-Chuan Lu, UC Berkeley)

via University of California Berkeley: David M Romps, Heat index extremes increasing several times faster than the air temperature, Environmental Research Letters (2024). DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad3144


Scientists don't exaggerate, so when you hear them use the words "crazy" and "mind-boggling", you know you are in for some sh*t:
Simply 'mind-boggling’: world record temperature jump in Antarctic raises fears of catastrophe
Apr 2024, The Guardian

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has said that sea levels are likely to rise between 0.3m to 1.1m by the end of the century. Many experts now fear this is a dangerous underestimate. In the past, climate change deniers accused scientists of exaggerating the threat of global warming. However, the evidence that is now emerging from Antarctica and other parts of the world makes it very clear that scientists did not exaggerate. Indeed, they very probably underrated by a considerable degree the threat that now faces humanity.

Cloud engineering could be more effective 'painkiller' for global warming than previously thought
Apr 2024, phys.org

Cloud Engineer sounds like a perfectly respectable career in the 2050's (not like the internet AI cloud, but like regular actual clouds)

Marine cloud brightening (MCB), also known as marine cloud engineering, works by spraying tiny particles, or aerosols, into the atmosphere where they mix with clouds and with the primary aim of increasing the amount of sunlight that clouds can reflect.

Researchers created a "natural experiment" using aerosol injection from the eruption of Kilauea volcano in Hawaii. With machine learning and historic satellite and meteorological data, the team created a predictor to show that how the cloud would behave during periods when the volcano was inactive. This predictor enabled them to identify clearly the impacts on the clouds that had been directly caused by the volcanic aerosols.

And fyi: In the U.S., a team from the University of Washington recently carried out its first outdoor aerosol experiment from a decommissioned aircraft carrier in Alameda, California.

via University of Birmingham: Nature Geoscience (2024). DOI: 10.1038/s41561-024-01427-z 


Study presents evidence that recent reductions in aerosol emissions create an additional warming effect
Apr 2024, phys.org

Sulfate particles have masked part of global warming by reflecting sunlight. In the last couple of decades, however, this cooling effect has reversed and now contributes to a warming due to extensive measures to improve air quality in many regions worldwide.

When removing emissions of reflecting particles, the particles and their cooling effect disappear in the order of days.

"Continued reductions of particle emissions may lead to an accelerated surface temperature warming already in this decade."

via CICERO Centre for International Climate and Environmental Research: Øivind Hodnebrog et al, Recent reductions in aerosol emissions have increased Earth's energy imbalance, Communications Earth & Environment (2024). DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01324-8

Wildwood NJ 1991- 2023

Jersey Shore town’s disappearing beach is getting smaller
Apr 2024, nj.com

“The city of North Wildwood has been experiencing significant erosion of its berm and dune, especially along the northern sections of the municipality’s oceanfront, since the 1990s,” Army Corps officials wrote in a February update on the project.

According to experts, stronger wave action and more frequent storms will only be fueled further by human-caused global warming — bringing on more erosion.

Critics also say the beach protection strategy of replenishment, also done to bolster shores with sand for beachgoers each summer, has only encouraged more people to build homes and settle on the coast.

The climate porn is so hard to ignore, by the sheer irony of it all.
They used LCA, or life cycle assessment, which is way too complicated for public discourse, and part of the reason why "plastic bans" are enacted in the first place:
Replacing plastics with alternatives is worse for greenhouse gas emissions in most cases, study finds
Apr 2024, phys.org

Findings from the study have revealed that in 15 out of the 16 applications examined, plastic products actually result in lower GHG emissions compared to their alternatives. The reduction in emissions spans from 10 percent to as high as 90 percent across the product life cycle.

Lower energy intensity during production, the weight efficiency of plastics, and superiority in upstream processes including production and transport all highlight the efficiency of plastic materials in mitigating emissions. Also, plastic packaging plays a crucial role in preserving the quality of food across a wide range of categories, helping prevent food spoilage and the GHG emissions it causes.

"Demand reduction, efficiency optimization, lifetime extension, and reuse/recycling are win-win strategies to reduce emissions effectively. Solely focusing on switching to alternative materials is not."

via University of Sheffield Department of Chemical and Biological Engineering, University of Cambridge and KTH Royal Institute of Technology: Fanran Meng et al, Replacing Plastics with Alternatives Is Worse for Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Most Cases, Environmental Science & Technology (2024). DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.3c05191


Good to remember:
US seeing surge of climate-related power outages, report says
Apr 2024, The Guardian

"The conditions that our infrastructure was built to handle are much different than what they were.”


Wednesday, June 26, 2024

For Food's Sake


In a perfect world, this would destroy the artificial food industry

Want to know how processed your food is? There's an algorithm for that
Jun 2023, phys.org

The fingerprint of food processing:

"In the paper what we do is really say that we believe that nutritional information, so the chemicals that are measured as nutrients in the nutritional facts, somehow encode the fingerprint of food processing," says Giulia Menichetti, senior research scientist at Northeastern's Network Science Institute and lead author of the research. "Because when we process a food, when we modify some staple ingredients, we change its chemistry in many different ways."

That "fingerprinting" is the way that researchers can glean insight into just how many chemical alterations have been made to a given food using the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Food and Nutrient Database for Dietary Studies.

The machine learning classifier called FoodProX is from the Foodome project. 

The researchers note how the NOVA system, which splits foods into four classifications, from "unprocessed or minimally processed" to ultra-processed, is fundamentally limiting because it doesn't account for the different gradations of processing within each separate category.
More than 73% of the U.S. food system is ultra-processed. And tobacco companies own the food companies, in case you didn't know, like I didn't know. Companies never die, they only change their names, and the people who run them. Companies are transcendental intelligent entities, a sentient superorganism. In this case, it is a superorganism that is literally devouring the human population, eating the years off of our collective life expectancies in order to survive. Or are we all just cells that must be sloughed, part of a normal-functioning healthy system?

via Center for Complex Network Research at Northeastern University: Giulia Menichetti et al, Machine learning prediction of the degree of food processing, Nature Communications (2023). DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-37457-1

(I believe the Center for Complex Network Research at Northeastern University was the original home of the Barabasi Lab [link])


To Repeat: The food industry is really the tobacco industry in disguise, and that most Americans eat one extra meal a day in junk food.
--US tobacco companies selectively disseminated hyper-palatable foods into the US food system: Empirical evidence and current implications. TL Fazzino, D Jun, L Chollet-Hinton, K Bjorlie. Addiction v119i1pp62-71 Jan 2024, 08 September 2023 https://doi.org/10.1111/add.16332
--Snacks contribute considerably to total dietary intakes among adults stratified by glycemia in the United States. K Heitman, CA Taylor, et al. PLoS Global Public Health. October 26, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0000802

Bonus:
AI Art - Cigarette Food Robot Confusion - Three Ladies Smoking in the Kitchen - 2023

Image credit: Note the thumbnail image above, and how AI Art doesn't understand how we use our mouths, and anytime you want a picture of someone eating, or smoking a cigarette for that matter, it looks like this. Meanwhile, consider the these image generator models are trained on The Internet, which we all know is 99% porn. Now remove the porn images from the trained model, i.e., "unlearn" the porn, and this is what you get - a robot that doesn't understand what a mouth is. 


Wednesday, June 19, 2024

Algorithmic Crack


'Temu is as addictive as sugar': How the ecommerce retailer drives a shopping frenzy
Apr 2024, BBC News

China was the first (and to date the only) to use the term "electronic drugs"
--Shares slide after China brands online games 'electronic drugs'. Aug 2021, BBC News https://www.bbc.com/news/business-58066659 

This article came at a significant moment, one where I notice an inordinate amount of friends self-diagnosing as afflicted with ADHD (formerly known as ADD, after we realized that half the problem was the diet, but before we were allowed to call out the food industry for it, hence we still refuse to accept the affliction for what it is). 

We eat an entire extra meal's worth of calories in snacks every day. Americans that is, and half of us. We are, again likely the majority, all suffering from sleep deprivation due mostly to social jetlag and a bit of just-in-time algorithmic gig-worker flex-scheduling. 

But now, let's add this to the onslaught - we're all addicted to algorithms, groveling at the feet of the eternal, anti-dimensional Al-Khwarizmi. Pick your program - on a scale from simple social media to shopping to straight-gambling. Dark patterns, endless scrolls, rabbit holes, notifications specifically designed to bypass your fatigue thresholds, your fragile cerebral manifold. 

These programs, software, applications - basically anything you click or touch - they are engineered to game your brain. We learned the 4 rules of game theory a very long time ago, and have been plugging them into every user interface possible to extract every grain of attention from your fully-assembled, indivisible self that we possibly can. 

And then we come to the conclusion that we're the problem, because we have ADHD. The solution? More fucking drugs. If you don't think drug companies pay social media influencers to convince you that you have a mental disease that requires medication ,you're really not paying attention. (Granted, the influencers don't know what they're doing, or who they're really doing it for.) 

I can imagine it being hard for people to believe - I'm not injecting this into my veins. It's just a phone. 

No, it's not just a phone. It's neuromimetic virus that's been engineered to override your endocrine system. It hijacks your dopamine system to force you into paying attention, very close attention, to whatever it wants. 

You might have attention-deficit disorder all right. But after you're done watching that superhot 24 year old explain the epigenetic precursors for prefrontal cortex regulation dysfunction, or whatever she's saying that sounds really scientific and well-researched and must totally be highly credible information, stop and think about how endless scroll works. Or how sex sells. Or how humans can't not turn their head when they smell something rotten. We have reflexes, they're hardwired into us. We have biological limits, and we understand those limits really really well, and we know how to overcome and manipulate them. Do you know what an abusive relationship looks like? This is what it looks like. Maybe it will be easier to see it this way once the algorithms become people. We're almost there:


Post Script, on features of post-consumerism:
"You're either going to get something really good and an absolute bargain. Or you get something that's a bit naff, but won't actually return it, because it's less than £10 so it's not worth your time". [link]


And finally, just for good measure:
"Crack cocaine of algorithms"
--Imran Ahmed, the Center for Countering Digital Hate, TikTok sets 60-minute daily screen time limit for under-18s, Feb 2023, BBC News https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-64813981

AI Art - Scruffy British Man Sitting on a Dirty Couch - 2024

See further: 
On the Imagery of Addictions as Seen through the Eyes of the Internet, 2022

Electronic Drugs and Addiction by Design, 2022


Monday, June 3, 2024

Taxi Driver and the Advent of Graffiti in New York City as Seen in Movies from 1971-1979

This is a typical scene from the movie Taxi Driver 1976, looking through the rainstreaked windshield on the city streets at night.

For no particular reason I'm watching The French Connection, 1971. Twenty minutes into the movie I get this weird feeling - it's filmed entirely in New York City, and parts of it look pretty close to what you would see if you went there today, 2024. But something was missing. 

There's no graffiti in the entire movie. It's filmed all throughout New York, on the streets downtown, on the elevated subways way uptown. Inside the subways, on the platforms. Brick walls, under bridges, it's all there. And not one inch has a piece of graffiti on it. 

There's one scene where far in the distance there might be like a hobo sign next to a loading dock behind a building. And maybe a scrawled Tony somewhere, maybe permanent marker. 

I thought that like most things, graffiti didn't just come from nowhere and all at once. There's always something that comes before. But no, not for graffiti. Like sure the aerosol spraycan came out in the 50's, but it took something to make it catch on. And that something must have happened in New York City sometime before 1979, when we see the movie The Warriors and a city consumed by crime, and graffiti. 

***

The Warriors, just like French Connection, relies on the subway almost as another character - here they're using it to evade both gangs and cops, like some omnipotent and very reliable sidekick. This is why I like using these two movies as the limits of this completely unscientific study - in the history of graffiti, the subway is important enough to be like a character in itself.

On the origin of graffiti in New York City, the easy way out of this question is to point to the blackout, summer of 1977. This event is often credited as the birth of Hip Hop, because it's when all the now-famous DJs got their equipment (for free). All these DJs now have sound systems and turntables, and they can have big parties, and the scene explodes. Anyway, that's the easy answer. 

I thought it would be better to look at it through the lens of movies filmed in New York City from 1971 to 1979, so here we go:

The French Connection, 1971
  • It's filmed in New York City, but there's no graffiti. None.
The climax of the film takes place inside a series of subway cars, and we see various subway stations, brick walls, payphones. You get a good sampling of the city, and can be sure, no graffiti. This is the beginning.

Super Fly, 1972
  • Trace amounts (first 20 min, last 10 min).
This is filmed mostly in Harlem. 

Mean Streets, 1973
  • No graffiti (a flower, in spray paint, 20 min).
Note this is filmed in an Italian neighborhood circa 1970, not sure where, but granted it's not the best place to go looking for graffiti at this time. 


Death Wish, 1974
  • Here we go. First scene in NYC, graffiti on the elevated subway.
  • The hoodlum at the supermarket buys spraypaint and then vandalizes the inside of the guy's house with it (and his name is Spraycan in the credits)
  • Bronson's first murder, in Riverside Park, graffiti everywhere (45 min)
  • Scenes inside the subway are still clean (53 min)
This is the first real appearance of graffiti in a movie in New York City, and it comes hard. The very premise of this movie is about the rampant crime that has grown in recent years and crept into every area of the city, and one man was so victimized that he became a vigilante and started straight shooting people. 

So this movie is about crime, about bad people doing bad things. And the aerosol spraycan makes an immediate appearance. Within the first twenty minutes, there's a scene where a bunch of hoodlums follow this guy into his apartment building, and one of them starts spray paining all over the inside of the building, and then all inside his apartment, a real sign of lawlessness. The guy's name in the credits is Spraycan.

But actual examples of graffiti are limited to Riverside Park, which is smacked. The cover of the movie poster shows Charles Bronson aiming his gun at someone, but right behind him is a wall tagged with black spray paint, the letters stylized in a way that says authentic, in-the-wild graffiti. Likely Riverside Park was already a party spot before the influx of DJ equipment following the '77 blackout.

Prisoner of 2nd Ave, 1975
  • Black and white block letters on a wall, "BIKE" (3 min)

Three Days of the Condor, 1975
  • Busted-ass proto-graffiti (22 min)

Marathon Man, 1976
  • Central Park (9 min and 44 min)
  • Scribble scrabble (1:18 min)

Next Stop Greenwich Village, 1976
  • Nothing.
Filmed in the then-Jewish neighborhood of Flatbush, or Brownsville, somewhere in between, and also Greenwich Village in Manhattan; you're not seeing any graffiti, not even on the subway (10 min)

Taxi Driver, 1976
Here, we are at an impasse. It was released in 1976 but filmed in the summer of 75 during a heat wave and a citywide garbage collectors strike. The way it was filmed, and the places it filmed, were supposed to show the dying gasp of a city on the verge of bankruptcy, which it was.

You might think a movie like this would have lots of graffiti, but no. In fact, there's no graffiti in the entire movie. Granted, it's really hard to see anything because so many scenes are him driving, so he's going too fast to see the walls, and you're looking through the windshield of his car so it's blurry, and it's like always raining so it's even more blurry, and also, he works nights, so it's always dark. Sorry to say, even if there were graffiti in the movie, it would be pretty hard to see. 

That being said, there still seems to be no graffiti anywhere, not at the 57th Street cab station, not even in the "bad" neighborhoods in Harlem with the hookers and the hoodlums, nowhere. There's some basic magic marker written in the hallway of the whorehouse (1:24 min). 

But alas, go search images for the film and you'll find all of them are shots of Robert De Niro in front a wall that's absolutely shattered, yet the movie itself has no graffiti in it. There's two different images that seem to reappear, and I've copied them below. 

So here's a movie, 1975-1976, where the movie itself shows no graffiti, but the marketing was certain to make the point very clear - graffiti is a thing, it's bad, and it's here.

Here is an example of one of the photographs for Taxi Driver showing graffiti in the background. 

Here is another example of one of the photographs for Taxi Driver showing graffiti in the background. 

Saturday Night Fever, 1977
  • Filmed almost entirely in Bay Ridge Brooklyn, and began in March of 77 and lasted 3 months (Vanity Fair article), so it was still before the "blackout"
  • The subway is trashed (1 min)
  • Brick wall (4 min)
  • Under the bridge, proto-graffiti (27 min)
  • Throwups at the "Barracuda" joint (48 min)
  • Brick wall, mix of proto- and early graffiti (1:17 min)
  • Barracuda's again (1:28 min)
  • Subways are rocked, inside and out, and even the stations too (1:50 min)
It's impossible to ignore now. Something tells me things were already heating up prior to filming in March 1977, and only months before the "blackout". Taxi Driver is filmed in the summer of 75 and we don't see any graffiti. So the entire year of 76 between these two movies seems like a good place to put the thumbtack on the map. Unfortunately, there's not enough good material from this exact time period. 

Superman, 1978
  • Doesn't count.
It's overproduced, too controlled, too sanitized; like if there was graffiti they would have paid to have it removed from the scene. And it's the only movie filmed in NYC from 1978.

The Warriors, 1979
  • The title has drips and the whole credits font is written as if it were from a spraycan (1 min)
  • Inside the subway and out, rocked (2 min)
  • Supposed to be the Bronx but it's actually Riverside Park, and, same as Death Wish, it's rocked (7min)
  • There's a scene in a cemetery, and either the whole thing is a stage or they put a fake tombstone in there, and it's spraypainted with a "W" on it for Warriors; all the other graffiti in there is bootie, I think it's fake (19 min)
  • So far every single scene in the movie has graffiti, some proto- some regular (20 min)
  • Sprays the guy in the face with a can of paint, like it's a weapon (1:15 min)
I suspect some scenes had the graf added on purpose, it's just so bad, and yet other scenes have really good stuff around, so it's hard to tell.

This is where I realize that movies have fake graffiti. I take for granted that I can tell the difference, but I think it's so obvious at times that anyone could tell.

Anyway, it's interesting to think about graffiti as a sign of lawlessness, crime, deteriorating social values, you name it. When a person making a movie wants to create a good, believable set for a movie about gritty city life, they either find a wall with graffiti on it, or they make the wall with graffiti on it. This brings me to the last movie, outside the 1970's decade, but added here just for their use of fake graffiti:

Escape from New York, 1981 
  • This one for good measure. 
  • At 1:20 you can see real good what fake graffiti looks like in a movie in 1981. The whole thing is simulacra by the way, since it's supposed to be NYC but it's really filmed in East St. Louis.
In 1971, if you wanted to make a movie set look gritty, you might turn over a garbage can, get some broken bottles on the sidwalk, let loose a couple rats, but you never thought to yourself, man what I really need is to get some tags scribbled on this stop sign. Graffiti simply didn't exist. Something that resembles graffiti has always existed, and everybody knows Pompei had it scribbled on the walls back in 79 AD. But it simply didn't mean the same thing as it does today.

When you to want to make your movie set look a little more hard core, you don't draw Kilroy on the payphone. It also didn't matter if you wrote TAKI 183 on the payphone because it didn't really look like graffiti yet, and it didn't mean then what it meant by 1977.

When it first appeared, at least through the lens of the movies filmed in NYC 1971-1979, it meant "crime"; it meant a city completely out of control. Nothing says "we have completely given up governing our society" like wild, undecipherable scribble on every visible surface. Since then, you absolutely cannot say the same thing without it.