Thursday, January 4, 2024

Not-bots, Fauxbots, Fleshbots and Semi-Sentience on the Rise


ChatGPT makes materials research much more efficient
Apr 2023, phys.org

"This isn't programming in the traditional sense; the method of interacting with these bots is through language," Morgan says. "Asking the program to extract data and then asking it to check if it is sure with normal sentences feels closer to how I train my children to get correct answers than how I usually train computers. It's such a different way to ask a computer to do things. It really changes how you think about what your computer can do."

via University of Wisconsin-Madison: Maciej P. Polak et al, Flexible, Model-Agnostic Method for Materials Data Extraction from Text Using General Purpose Language Models, arXiv (2023). DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2302.04914

Also: Maciej P. Polak et al, Extracting Accurate Materials Data from Research Papers with Conversational Language Models and Prompt Engineering—Example of ChatGPT, arXiv (2023). DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2303.05352

Image credit: In one of the first instances, phys.org uses a Stable Diffusion-generated image in the thumbnail, along with this statement: "This image was generated using Stable Diffusion, a text-to-image generator, using the prompt "researchers working with huge piles of data." -Dane Morgan and Maciej Polak, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 2023 [link]


New 'AI scientist' combines theory and data to discover scientific equations
Apr 2023, phys.org

The system rediscovered Kepler's third law of planetary motion, and produced a good approximation of Einstein's relativistic time-dilation law.

The new AI scientist—dubbed "AI-Descartes" by the researchers—joins the likes of AI Feynman and other recently developed computing tools that aim to speed up scientific discovery. At the core of these systems is a concept called symbolic regression, which finds equations to fit data. Given basic operators, such as addition, multiplication, and division, the systems can generate hundreds to millions of candidate equations, searching for the ones that most accurately describe the relationships in the data.

The system works particularly well on noisy, real-world data, which can trip up traditional symbolic regression programs that might overlook the real signal in an effort to find formulas that capture every errant zig and zag of the data. It also handles small data sets well, even finding reliable equations when fed as few as ten data points.

"In this work, we needed human experts to write down, in formal, computer-readable terms, what the axioms of the background theory are, and if the human missed any or got any of those wrong, the system won't work."

via IBM Research, Samsung AI, and University of Maryland Baltimore County: Combining Data and Theory for Derivable Scientific Discovery with AI-Descartes, Nature Communications (2023). DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-37236-y


Researchers say AI emergent abilities are just a 'mirage'
Apr 2023, phys.org

"Previously claimed emergent abilities … might likely be a mirage induced by researcher analyses" 

Researchers contend that when results are reported in non-linear, or discontinuous, metrics, they appear to show sharp, unpredictable changes that are erroneously interpreted as indicators of emergent behavior, however an alternate means of measuring the identical data using linear metrics shows "smooth, continuous" changes that, contrary to the former measure, reveal predictable—non-emergent—behavior.

Large numbers getcha every time:

"The Stanford team added that failure to use large enough samples also contributes to faulty conclusions."

It's one of the easiest to spot when looking at the success of predictive powers, whether it's the weather, a sports bettor, or your financial advisor -- the law of large numbers makes us suck at identifying patterns. If you flip a perfect coin, there's a 50% chance of it landing on either heads or tails, which is what you would call a perfect chance, right down the middle. But if you flip the coin 10 times, you will probably not get 5 heads and 5 tails. You might have to flip it 100 times for that, or maybe even 10,000. And it depends on how many decimals you want to use, and if you start to get into millions and trillions of flips, then you'll have to cancel the variables in your system, like the weight of the respective sides of the coin, or the tendency for you hand to flip a certain way, or the prevailing winds, or patterns of seismic vibrations of the earth. 

People who understand very well the law of large numbers, or more likely people who don't udnerstand it and don't want to -- can do a good job convincing others of seeing whatever patterns they want, just by manipulating the metrics, like looking at performance from January to January instead of September to September, or 18 months instead of 12, or:

"The main takeaway," the researchers said, "is for a fixed task and a fixed model family, the researcher can choose a metric to create an emergent ability or choose a metric to ablate an emergent ability."

via Stanford University: Rylan Schaeffer et al, Are Emergent Abilities of Large Language Models a Mirage?, arXiv (2023). DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2304.15004

AI Art - A doctor use his stethoscope on a huge mechanical brain pink background 1 - 2023

Study finds source validation issues hurt ChatGPT reliability
May 2023, phys.org

Only about half of generated sentences were fully supported by citations, and one quarter of citations failed to support associated sentences.

Moreover, the team found citation recall and precision were inversely correlated with fluency and perceived utility. "The responses that seem more helpful are often those with more unsupported statements or inaccurate citations," they observed.

As a consequence, they concluded, "This facade of trustworthiness increases the potential for existing generative search engines to mislead users."

via Stanford University's Human-Centered AI research group: Nelson F. Liu et al, Evaluating Verifiability in Generative Search Engines, arXiv (2023). DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2304.09848


Online consumers at risk from 'intelligent' price manipulation, say experts
May 2023, phys.org

"Widespread use of intelligent algorithmics and dynamic pricing by online retailers, puts the public at risk of 'adversarial collusion"

More sophisticated algorithms can manipulate weaker algorithms and therefore collude together to increase prices for everyone, subtly undermine the competitiveness of online markets and harm consumers.

via University of Oxford: Luc Rocher, Adversarial competition and collusion in algorithmic markets, Nature Machine Intelligence (2023). DOI: 10.1038/s42256-023-00646-0


Ethical, legal issues raised by ChatGPT training literature
May 2023, phs.org

"Our work here has shown that OpenAI models know about books in proportion to their popularity on the web and the accuracy of such models is strongly dependent on the frequency with which a model has seen information in the training data."

Few if any details about data used to train the models are known to the public.

Also, science fiction and fantasy books dominate the list of memorized books, presenting a built-in bias on the nature of responses ChatGPT may provide. 

We should be thinking about whose narrative experiences are encoded in these models.

via University of California, Berkeley: Kent K. Chang et al, Speak, Memory: An Archaeology of Books Known to ChatGPT/GPT-4, arXiv (2023). DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2305.00118

Post Script: I'm more interested in the simple statistical reality of algorithms trained on a completely "wild" dataset. The internet as a dataset is not curated, it's not designed, it's neither tamed nor maintained in any way; it is completely wild. When you apply the current state of the art in machine learning to a wild dataset, you multiply the wild part. 

AI Art - A doctor use his stethoscope on a huge mechanical brain pink background 2 - 2023

AI: War crimes evidence erased by social media platforms
Jun 2023, BBC News

AI-powered church service in Germany draws a large crowd
Jun 2023, Ars Technica

New tool explains how AI 'sees' images and why it might mistake an astronaut for a shovel
Jun 2023, phys.org

CRAFT -- for Concept Recursive Activation FacTorization for Explainability -- was a joint project with the Artificial and Natural Intelligence Toulouse Institute.

One of the concepts associated with the tench (a type of fish) is the face of a white male, because there are many photos online of white male sports fishermen holding fish that look like tench. In another example, the predominant concept associated with a soccer ball in neural networks is the presence of soccer players on the field. 

One way to explain AI vision is through what's called attribution methods, which employ heatmaps to identify the most influential regions of an image that impact AI decisions. However, these methods mainly focus on the most prominent regions of an image—revealing "where" the model looks, but failing to explain "what" the model sees in those areas.

But with CRAFT we can see how the system is ranking the concepts. 

With the 'image of an astronaut was incorrectly classified as a shovel' problem, CRAFT showed that the neural network identified the concept of "dirt" commonly found in members of the image class "shovel" and the concept of "ski pants" typically worn by people clearing snow from their driveway with a shovel.

via Brown University's Carney Institute for Brain Science: Thomas Fel et al, CRAFT: Concept Recursive Activation FacTorization for Explainability (2023)

AI Art - A doctor use his stethoscope on a huge mechanical brain pink background 3 - 2023

Study says AI data contaminates vital human input
Jun 2023, phys.org

They dubbed this phenomenon "artificial artificial artificial intelligence."

(But you should know this is because of the already-in-use term for Mechanical Turks, dubbed "artificial artificial intelligence"; and although they used to provide human input are now relying on AI-generated content, thus the "artificial" hole of recursion.)

"It is tempting to rely on crowdsourcing to validate large language model outputs or to create human gold-standard data for comparison," Veselovsky said. "But what if crowd workers themselves are using LLMs … in order to increase their productivity, and thus their income, on crowdsourcing platforms?"

Based on a limited study of the use of large language models by workers at MTurk, Amazon's crowd sourcing operation, the EPFL researchers estimated that 33% to 46% of worker assignments were completed with the aid of large language models.

via École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), Lausanne, Switzerland: Veniamin Veselovsky et al, Artificial Artificial Artificial Intelligence: Crowd Workers Widely Use Large Language Models for Text Production Tasks, arXiv (2023). DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2306.07899

Post Script: Figure this one out flesh engine of the future!  "fringe benefits, french benefits, and friends with benefits" boy is that a good one.


Is it growing pains or is ChatGPT just becoming dumber?
Jul 2023, phys.org

"We don't fully understand what causes these changes in ChatGPT's responses because these models are opaque."

"Any results on closed-source models are not reproducible and not verifiable, and therefore, from a scientific perspective, we are comparing raccoons and squirrels." -Sasha Luccioni of the AI company Hugging Face

via Stanford and UC Berkeley: Lingjiao Chen et al, How is ChatGPT's behavior changing over time?, arXiv (2023). DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2307.09009

Random Hands


We all know the thing about the hands by now; just keeping these here for posterity. As a teacher of anatomy, I spent 3 months every year for 10 years teaching teenagers how to draw hands, trying to understand how they see, what they see, what they don't see; and so these pictures are very amusing. 


















Multigenerational Psyops Machine


Study shows cigarette butts leak deadly toxins into the environment
May 2023, phys.org

"The filter is full of thousands of toxic chemicals and microplastic fibers, so it's not just any piece of plastic that's being discarded into the environment. It's hazardous waste,"

Fish can die if they are exposed to concentrations corresponding to the toxins exuded by barely two cigarette butts in one liter of water for four days.

The EU has already classified cigarette filters as hazardous waste, and from the turn of the year, it will be the tobacco producers who have to pay for cleaning up cigarette butts.

She doesn't think there are any good arguments at all for filters to remain a component of cigarettes. Along with other experts, Professor Carney Almroth has written an opinion piece in the magazine Science of the Total Environment arguing that cigarette butts are not just the most common litter item in the world, they are also just a marketing ploy that do little to protect the smoker, as many people believe they do.

University of Gothenburg: Therese Nitschke et al, Smokers' behaviour and the toxicity of cigarette filters to aquatic life: a multidisciplinary study, Microplastics and Nanoplastics (2023). DOI: 10.1186/s43591-022-00050-2

Also: Dannielle S. Green et al, Time to kick the butt of the most common litter item in the world: Ban cigarette filters, Science of The Total Environment (2022). DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.161256

Image credit: AI Art - Businessmen Using Gasmasks by Francis Bacon and Norman Rockwell - 2022


The Free Market vs the Fair Market


Discrepancies at the dispensaries: Study finds THC potency much lower than labeled
Apr 2023, phys.org

Never again 

There's a theme here that you can't trust the commercial sector it's basically the exact opposite of science and the pursuit of knowledge.

Also can we give these guys an award for the best title: Uncomfortably High

Using High-Performance Liquid Chromatography, Mile High Lab techs tested 23 samples (1–2 grams per sample) representing 12 strains purchased from 10 Colorado dispensaries. Strains were chosen to represent a diversity of reported THC % by dry weight from 12.8% to 33.0%.

It was unclear to researchers if the single values printed on packaging were an average of multiple tests or the result of a single test.

The average observed THC potency was 23.1% lower than the lowest label reported values and 35.6% lower than the highest label reported values. Overall, ~70% of the samples were more than 15% lower than the THC potency numbers reported on the label, with three samples having only half of the reported maximum THC potency. 13 of 23 tested samples had observed values that were more than 30% lower than the lowest reported value.

As the legal cannabis market continues to grow, it is essential that the industry moves toward selling products with more accurate labeling or risk losing trust in the industry as a whole.

via University of Northern Colorado and Mile High Labs in Colorado: Anna L. Schwabe et al, Uncomfortably high: Testing reveals inflated THC potency on retail Cannabis labels, PLOS ONE (2023). DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0282396



Testing of smartphone apps that identify plants shows most are not very good
Apr 2023, phys.org

Most smartphone apps that identify plants are inaccurate. All of the apps are based on deep-learning technology and have been trained using images posted on the internet.

This, they further note, leads to errors because so many images of plants on the internet are mislabeled. (emphasized for those AI fans out there who forget that humans are and will always be the weakest link; and we are the ones who label.)

  • large differences in accuracy between the apps and variation across species
  • most of the apps did better when asked to identify plants by their flowers than by their leaves
  • none had an accuracy above 90%
  • some scored as low as 4% on some tasks
  • none of the apps are good enough to use as a field guide for people foraging for food in the wild
  • nor are they good enough for use by environmentalists or farmers to determine which plants to protect and which to eradicate
  • they can be used by hobbyists hoping to learn more about their local environment

via University of Galway's School of Natural Science and University of Leeds' School of Geography: Neil Campbell et al, A repeatable scoring system for assessing Smartphone applications ability to identify herbaceous plants, PLOS ONE (2023). DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0283386


The Laws of Metaphysics Strikes Again:
Accountants' tricks can help identify cheating scientists, says new study
Apr 2023, phys.org

You cannot escape Benford's Law, or any of the Laws Metaphysical (not until you get yourself a quantum random number generator to clean up your fake data).

The trick behind these tools is that it is actually harder than you might imagine to fabricate essentially random numbers, like the last digit in everyone's bank balances. Financial auditors have known this for a long time and have a variety of tools for looking at lists of numbers and highlighting ones that seem odd (and thus requiring investigation for fraud).

via University of St Andrews: Gregory M. Eckhartt et al, Investigating and preventing scientific misconduct using Benford's Law, Research Integrity and Peer Review (2023). DOI: 10.1186/s41073-022-00126-w

Post Script: 
Retractions of scientific papers neared 5,000 globally in 2022 according to Retraction Watch, amounting to almost 0.1% of published articles:
Retraction Watch - Tracking retractions as a window into the scientific process

Post Post Script:
Part of the problem, he says, stems from publication bias: "There are virtually no incentives for publishing papers that provide confirmation or refutation of previous studies." This emphasis placed on exciting results, which ultimately affects the success of scientists' careers, may be a key factor to consider in future reforms.

Read more at Megadata vs Magadata

Read this like it's the Onion:
Fox News settles Dominion defamation case for $787.5m - In a statement, Fox said Tuesday's settlement in one of the most anticipated defamation trials in recent US history reflected its "commitment to the highest journalistic standards".
Apr 2023, BBC News

Image credit: AI Art - Ghost Scream - 2022

Fewer than half of new drugs add substantial therapeutic value over existing treatments
Jul 2023, phys.org

They used publicly available data to identify 124 first and 335 supplemental indications approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and 88 first and 215 supplemental indications approved by the European Medicines Agency (EMA) between January 2011 and December 2020.

Among FDA-approved indications with available ratings, 41% (44 of 107) had high therapeutic value ratings for first, compared with 34% (61 of 179) for supplemental indications. In Europe, 47% (41 of 87) of first and 36% (67 of 184) of supplemental indications had high therapeutic value ratings.

Among FDA approvals, when the sample was restricted to the first three approved indications, second indication approvals were 36% less likely to have a high value rating and third indication approvals were 45% less likely when compared to the first indication approval. Similar findings were observed for Europe.

via Institute of Law, University of Zurich, Harvard Medical School, Yale School of Medicine, Yale School of Public Health: Therapeutic value of first versus supplemental indications of drugs in US and Europe (2011-20): retrospective cohort study, The BMJ (2023). DOI: 10.1136/bmj-2022-074166


Researchers find 89% of sports supplement labels false, ingredients fraudulent and some laced with illegal drugs
Jul 2023, phys.org

  • Sports supplements, not just any supplements
  • Supplement manufacturing (all of it) is not monitored.
  • US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) lists them as a food subcategory, but synthetic drugs being slipped into supplements are not food or botanical ingredients—they are unapproved pharmaceutical drugs (words from the article not mine).
  • The U.S. Department of Justice has previously charged individuals with conspiracy to defraud consumers and the FDA by selling products labeled as dietary supplements that contained unapproved drugs.
  • Finding unlabeled and unapproved drugs in supplements is equivalent to experimenting on humans without their knowledge. Most concerning is the product found to contain four different drug compounds. While none of these drugs are well tested on humans, a cocktail of multiple combined banned substances has never been tested in any scenario.
They analyzed the ingredients in a selection of sports supplements purchased online with liquid chromatography–quadrupole time-of-flight mass spectrometry:
  • 89% inaccurately labeled
  • 12% included unlabeled banned drug substances
  • 57 products contained one of five popular supplements, R vomitoria (n=13), methylliberine (n=21), turkesterone (n=8), halostachine (n=7) and octopamine (n=8).
Vomitoria though?
  • 23 products (40%) did not contain a detectable amount of the labeled ingredient
  • Of the 34 products that contained detectable amounts of the listed ingredient, the actual quantity ranged from 0.02% to 334% of the labeled quantity (***so even when you do list it, it's so far off that it doesn't matter***)
  • 6 products (11%) contained an ingredient quantity within 10% of the label
  • 7 products (12%) were found to contain at least one FDA-prohibited ingredient
  • 5 different FDA-prohibited compounds were found, including four synthetic simulants, 1,4-dimethylamylamine (DMAA), deterenol, octodrine (DMHA), oxilofrine and omberacetam
  • 6 products contained one of these prohibited ingredients, and one contained a combination of four prohibited ingredients: 1,4 Dimethylhexylamine, or 1,4-DMAA, analog of 1,3-DMAA, Deterenol (Betaphrine), Octodrine, Oxilofrine, Omberacetam (seem like mostly stimulants, hypertension, not approved for use in humans)

via Cambridge Health Alliance, Massachusetts; Harvard Medical School, Massachusetts; University of Mississippi; and NSF International, Michigan: Pieter A. Cohen et al, Presence and Quantity of Botanical Ingredients With Purported Performance-Enhancing Properties in Sports Supplements, JAMA Network Open (2023). DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.23879


Study shows how the meat and dairy sector resists competition from alternative animal products
Aug 2023, phys.org

Researchers compared government spending of major agricultural policies and lobbying trends from 2014 to 2020 that supported either the animal food product system or alternative technologies, and compared government spending on both systems. 

In the U.S., about 800 times more public funding and 190 times more lobbying money goes to animal-source food products than alternatives. In the EU, about 1,200 times more public funding and three times more lobbying money goes to animal-source food products. In both regions, nearly all plant-based meat patents were published by a small number of private companies or individuals, with just one U.S. company, Impossible Foods, owning half of the patents.

But the fake take:

Similarly, a proposed amendment to the U.S. Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act would prohibit the sale of alternative meats unless the product label included the word "imitation" and other clarifying statements indicating the non-animal origin.

via Stanford Doerr School of Sustainability: Simona Vallone, Public policies and vested interests preserve the animal farming status quo at the expense of animal product analogs, One Earth (2023). DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.07.013

The Fractal Frontier


How chaos theory mediates between quantum theory and thermodynamics
Dec 2022, phys.org

Sounds important, not sure I understand:

When a large number of quantum particles are in play at the same time, the equations of quantum theory become so complicated that even the best supercomputers in the world have no chance of solving them [and therefore we can't get temperature from quantum particles, only classical ones]. 

Only where chaos prevails do the well-known rules of thermodynamics follow from quantum physics [according to their super-simulations].

[They describe a system as behaving "quantum chaotically".]

This is one of the first cases in which the interplay between three important theories has been rigorously demonstrated by many-particle computer simulations: quantum theory, thermodynamics and chaos theory.

via Institute of Theoretical Physics at Vienna University of Technology: Mahdi Kourehpaz et al, Canonical Density Matrices from Eigenstates of Mixed Systems, Entropy (2022). DOI: 10.3390/e24121740


Researchers discover superconductive images are actually 3D and disorder-driven fractals
May 2023, phys.org

"Electronic fractals" it's being called. And I guess we already know this: "Advancements with superconductivity hinge on advances in quantum materials. When electrons inside of quantum materials undergo a phase transition, the electrons can form intricate patterns, such as fractals."

But now, with better, higher resolution imaging, they see that the fractals are not just on the surface, but indeed 3-dimensional, so the entire crystal is made of them.

Sudden implication: "Correlation length -- the distance over which the nematic order maintains coherence -- is larger than the field of view of the experiment" (because you know fractals are fractional dimensions that seem to "steal" space from the higher dimension).

In case you were wondering: Superconductor Bi2-xPbzSr2-yLayCuO6+x (BSCO), that's it's name.

via Purdue, Harvard, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, and Penn State: Can-Li Song et al, Critical nematic correlations throughout the superconducting doping range in Bi2-xPbzSr2-yLayCuO6+x, Nature Communications (2023). DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-38249-3


The brain's ability to perceive space expands like the universe
Jan 2023, phys.org

Salk scientists have discovered that time spent exploring an environment causes neural representations to grow in surprising ways.

Neurons in the hippocampus essential for spatial navigation, memory, and planning represent space in a manner that conforms to a nonlinear hyperbolic geometry—a three-dimensional expanse that grows outward exponentially.

The size of that space grows with time spent in a place, increasing in a logarithmic fashion that matches the maximal possible increase in information being processed by the brain.

via the Salk Institute: Huanqiu Zhang et al, Hippocampal spatial representations exhibit a hyperbolic geometry that expands with experience, Nature Neuroscience (2022). DOI: 10.1038/s41593-022-01212-4

See also: New research finds that collective neural activity is shaped like the surface of a doughnut via Norwegian University of Science and Technology's Kavli Institute for Systems Neuroscience: Richard J. Gardner et al, Toroidal topology of population activity in grid cells, Nature (2022). DOI: 10.1038/s41586-021-04268-7

And: New method to determine the dimensionality of complex networks through hyperbolic geometry via University of Barcelona: Pedro Almagro et al, Detecting the ultra low dimensionality of real networks, Nature Communications (2022). DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-33685-z

An artistic depiction of a wave encountering an exponentially curved spacetime - Matias Koivurova, University of Eastern Finland - 2023

Fractons as information storage: Not yet tangible, but close
May 2023, phys.org

Fuck is a fracton come on man (we're copying most of the article here, dense stuff)

Fractons are fractions of spin excitations and are not allowed to possess kinetic energy. As a consequence, they are completely stationary and immobile. This makes fractons new candidates for perfectly secure information storage. Especially since they can be moved under special conditions, namely piggyback on another quasiparticle.

"Fractons have emerged from a mathematical extension of quantum electrodynamics, in which electric fields are treated not as vectors but as tensors -- completely detached from real materials" 

In order to be able to observe fractons experimentally in the future, it is necessary to find model systems that are as simple as possible: Therefore, octahedral crystal structures with antiferromagnetically interacting corner atoms were modeled first. 

(Obviously)

...included quantum fluctuations in the calculation of this octahedral solid-state system for the first time, and see they do not enhance the visibility of fractons, but on the contrary, completely blur them, even at absolute zero temperature

via Helmholtz Association of German Research Centres, Indian Institute of Technology in Chennai: Nils Niggemann et al, Quantum Effects on Unconventional Pinch Point Singularities, Physical Review Letters (2023). DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.130.196601


Punctuation in literature of major languages is intriguingly mathematical
Apr 2023, phys.org

First, can someone just tell me how an institute of nuclear physics started doing research on punctuation usage?

Punctuation turns out to be a universal and indispensable complement to the mathematical perfection of every language studied.

Thanks. 

And this isn't their first study on the topic:

"The present analyses are an extension of our earlier results on the multifractal features of sentence length variation in works of world literature. After all, what is sentence length? It is nothing more than the distance to the next specific punctuation mark— the full stop. So now we have taken all punctuation marks under a statistical magnifying glass, and we have also looked at what happens to punctuation during translation," 

The attention of the Cracow researchers was primarily drawn to the statistical distribution of the distance between consecutive punctuation marks. It soon became evident that in all the languages studied, it was best described by one of the precisely defined variants of the Weibull distribution.

The Weibull distribution is usually used to describe survival phenomena (e.g. population as a function of age), but also various physical processes, such as increasing fatigue of materials.

Further findings:

The language characterized by the lowest propensity to use punctuation is English, with Spanish not far behind; Slavic languages proved to be the most punctuation-dependent. German proved to be the exception. Its hazard function is the only one that intersects most of the curves constructed for the other languages. German punctuation thus seems to combine the punctuation features of many languages, making it a kind of Esperanto punctuation. Also, the language most faithfully transforming punctuation from the original language to the target language turned out to be German.

And here is just a great explanation of the mathematical constraints on language:

"Creating a sentence by adding one word after another while ensuring that the message is clear and unambiguous is a bit like tightening the string of a bow: it is easy at first, but becomes more demanding with each passing moment. If there are no ordering elements in the text (and this is the role of punctuation), the difficulty of interpretation increases as the string of words lengthens. A bow that is too tight can break, and a sentence that is too long can become unintelligible. Therefore, the author is faced with the necessity of 'freeing the arrow', i.e. closing a passage of text with some sort of punctuation mark. This observation applies to all the languages analyzed, so we are dealing with what could be called a linguistic law," states Dr. Tomasz Stanisz (IFJ PAN), first author of the article in question.

Also: The Journal of Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 

via The Henryk Niewodniczanski Institute of Nuclear Physics Polish Academy of Sciences: Tomasz Stanisz et al, Universal versus system-specific features of punctuation usage patterns in major Western languages, Chaos, Solitons & Fractals (2023). DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2023.113183

Image credit: AI Art - Ouroboros - 2023

Harnessing chaos - Simulation experiment demonstrates way to mitigate extreme weather events
Jun 2023, phys.org

Is this even real? This is the most sci fi shit I've ever heard. Diabolical, and if it wasn't from RIKEN, I wouldn't even post it; it was also part of a national competition in Japan:

RIKEN scientists have demonstrated a way to make small tweaks in weather systems as a means to prevent, or at least reduce, the severity of extreme weather events such as torrential rain. They did this by taking advantage of the chaos that is inherent to such systems. Through this work they hope to develop ways to prevent extreme weather events, which have become more common in recent years.

His group took on this challenge as part of the Japanese government's moonshot-millennia program, and in previously published work, they described the possibility of controlling weather by initiating small changes in it as it forms. At that time, they used the simple Lorenz 63 weather model, which only has a few variables, and showed that it would be possible to induce small perturbations in the system to keep it on one side of a so-called "butterfly pattern." (I don't know why they're not calling it the butterfly effect)

Their new study published in Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics goes beyond the simple model. In it, the team adopted the Lorenz 96 model. Essentially, it sets a weather variable for 40 points along a line of latitude around the Earth, and looks at how each of these points changes as it interacts with neighboring points throughout the year. Approximately once or twice a year, the points show large variations, which correspond to extreme weather events. As part of a control simulation experiment, the members of the team were able to eliminate the extreme events by making small tweaks in a 100-year run of the model.

The control simulation experiment essentially took advantage of the chaotic nature of the system; small perturbations—which might for example involve making centimeter/second changes in wind speed to prevent a typhoon with winds that are many times more powerful—done strategically ahead of time could prevent the system from entering an undesired area, meaning that they could stop extreme events from happening.

via RIKEN: Qiwen Sun et al, Control simulation experiments of extreme events with the Lorenz-96 model, Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics (2023). DOI: 10.5194/npg-30-117-2023

Tuesday, January 2, 2024

New "Fingers of Science" to Start 2024


To start off the new year of 2024, here is a series of pictures of scientists holding tiny things in their fingers close up to the camera, just like you asked.

Above image: Piezoelectric sensor - University of Houston - 2023


Optical coherence tomography uses light waves to take cross sectional images - R Wilson at NIST - Apr 2023


Graphene implant on tattoo paper - Ning Liu at University of Texas at Austin - 2023


Implantable nanofluidic device to deliver immunotherapy into a pancreatic tumor - Houston Methodist Research Institute - 2023


Spin-coated perovskite solar cells - Zhu Zonglong at City University of Hong Kong - 2023


Smart Bandage - University of Glasgow - 2023


Tunable superconducting diode - University of Minnesota Twin Cities - 2023


Perovskite silicon tandem solar cell - Johannes Beckedahl, Lea Zimmerman, HZB - 2023


Flexible perovskite solar cell - Stepan Demchyshyn - 2023


Nanoparticle sensors - Macquarie University - 2023


Remaining Denisova 11 Denny bone fragment - Katerina Douka, Tom Higham, Institute for Basic Science - 2023


Prototype solid-state stacked battery - Empa - Swiss National Science Foundation - 2023


Miniature human heart on a microchip - Tissue Dynamics - 2023


Shapeshifting robot CLARI - Casey Cass CU Boulder - 2023


14nm analog AI chip - Ryan Lavine for IBM - 2023


Small robotic devices microflier - Mark Stone for University of Washington - 2023


Screen-printed, flexible sensors attached to earbuds - Erik Jepsen University of California San Diego - 2023


MilliMobile the self-driving robot powered by light or radio waves - Mark Stone University of Washington - 2023


Thermal magIC thermometry camera - Jennifer Lauren Lee at NIST - 2023


Wearable sensor for glucose monitoring - Kate Myers at Penn State - 2023


Faux Fingers - AI Art via Lexica - Hand holding a old cassette tape - 2023


Microneedle skin patch - University of Bath - 2023


Inverted perovskite solar cell with hole-selective contacts - EPFL Felix T. Eickemeyer  - 2023


Lead-halide perovskite solar cells - Pan Xu of Hefei Institutes of Physical Science of Chinese Academy of Sciences - 2023


Flexible X-ray detector - Dr Nanayakkara at University of Surrey - 2023

Old Musings on Fingers of Science circa 2022:
I wish I could articulate my fascination with these pictures, something about the essence of discovery, the seed of wonder? It's close up so it's under enhanced scrutiny by the viewer. Maybe it's the difference between this little thing being a big deal, and yet being so tiny. What's the difference between a photograph of the Large Hadron Collider and a photograph of this "artificial fairy" above? You can hold it in your hands, and not just your hands, in between your fingers. And also it's being held, controlled, protected, by the very hands that made it. Maybe just because it's the scientists fingers, not their face or their lab coat or their million dollar petaflopping supercomputers, but their fingers. The physical products of scientific endeavor, the pinnacle of human technology, being held by the most simple piece of "technology" on this Earth -- the human hand.