After reading many thousands of articles about science, and listening to the way scientists talk, some things become really obvious - like the fact that scientists don't use informal language often, and especially informal superlatives, like "nah this is just crazy" or "yeah you guys are completely screwed". So when you see it, you take note:
Ocean heat and La Nina combo likely mean more Atlantic hurricanes this summer
May 2024, phys.org
This May, ocean heat in the main area where hurricanes develop has been as high as it usually is in mid-August. "That's crazy,"
He says "that's crazy", and scientists don't say that, in fact it's like a thing that scientists are very unlikely to say; they just don't talk that way, so when you hear it, you know it's oh shit time.
via National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Image credit: AI Art - Secret Skull Society - 2024
New study finds Earth warming at record rate, but no evidence of climate change accelerating
Jun 2024, phys.org
Once again, the climate is so screwed up that scientists, known for using the most boring language possible, what I will jokingly call their aggressively anti-superlative approach to communicating, are using words like "gobsmacking", and that's all you really need to know:
Scientists had theorized a few explanations for the massive jump in September 2023, which Hausfather called "gobsmacking."Wednesday's report didn't find enough warming from other potential causes. The report said the reduction of sulfur pollution from shipping - which had been providing some cooling to the atmosphere - was overwhelmed last year by carbon particles put in the air from Canadian wildfires. (still debate about this apparently)Note what they're saying is that this is exactly what we expected: "The year was within the range of what was predicted, albeit it was at the upper edge of the range. Acceleration if it were to happen would be even worse, like hitting a global tipping point, it would be probably the worst scenario. But what is happening is already extremely bad and it is having major impacts already now. We are in the middle of a crisis."
via 57 scientists from around the world using United Nations-approved methods: Piers M. Forster et al, Indicators of Global Climate Change 2023: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence, Earth System Science Data (2024). DOI: 10.5194/essd-16-2625-2024
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